We usually get a bunch of pigweed but it mostly died out from drought/extreme cold this year.
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Pattern Failboat February
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
This doesn't seem like a lost February to me.
Brent
Member
Yeah there's no way I'm believing winter is over here in January. February has tried something every year I've been here
Flo
Member
Best snow I’ve ever seen was in February.
Pacific Jet roaring in February.
SnowNiner
Member
WolfpackHomer91
Member
Unless your on the coast then you’ll get it mid January.
Feb looks to start with the canonical Feb pattern we've had for the past decade...but this winter feels different. I feel like we see one more SE/MA event mid/end Feb. It wants to be cold this winter.
I do really like that big PV lobe still sitting just north of the Hudson and the trough new Hawaii.
We need a 2014 Feb pattern where the AK ridge build poleward and we got this super pacific block dumping cold into the conus. I'm tired of a PNA ridge trying to go up only to be pulled back west.
But I do think we got first week or two Feb to deal with a cold west warm east.
That probably happens as we roll forward. It's been a pretty chilly winter by modern standards, at least. It can't be wall to wall cold. Besides, I'm sure many need a break after chasing this event for so long.
For everyone that missed yesterday, don’t worry. The GFS is going to throw us some sleet pellets on Feb 1 before it scours the wedge with a cutter
NCSNOW
Member
Euro throws you a better one after that varmit heads back to his hole Feb 2cnd
Iceagewhereartthou
Member
Both of those still miss me... what else you got?
I might as well be living in southern Louis.. no... Flori... no... Gulf Coas... no..... Key West?
rburrel2
Member
rburrel2
Member
Now this is a proper wedge storm! Textbook worthy
TheBetterDoge
Member
Far out, but models may be hinting at an +EAMT event in February? Not a terrible look if the MJO goes null rather than high amp warm phases.
WolfpackHomer91
Member
Start The thread... this ones ours
Iceagewhereartthou
Member
This is not the look I am wanting. Got a nice damming high to the NE but with a cutter would be a nasty ice storm; no thanks. Need a banana high to keep the LP south.
Yeah these looks don’t keep me up at night. 99/100 this setup will find a way to rain here
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
A 1043 HP in upstate NY would be a mega wedge
Decent signal on the EPS for some ice 
Haven’t had an ice storm here in my area in many years. Anything wintry for me.
100% agree. I know that conventional wisdom says that Feb is toast, but I don't think so. As long as we keep the coldest anoms on our side of the globe in north eastern Canada, we're in the game.
We'll have a either opportunity to track. As soon as I saw @rburrel2 's height map above, I knew ice was in the cards. That's probably what we'll have to deal with for part of Feb...ice and wedges. We should first moderate a little, though.
RDU’s last Feb accumulating snow was 5 years ago…that’s got to be a record of sorts. And before that it was 2015. So in past 10 years we’ve had 1 Feb snow.
For arguement sakes, accumulating meaning more than 0.5” of snow.
For arguement sakes, accumulating meaning more than 0.5” of snow.
JimBobs
Member
We're on Daffodil Watch already.
TheBetterDoge
Member
Both the EPS/GEFS have slowly shifted the Aleutian ridge more towards Alaska in Early February. This **may** curve the more classic nina look but its a step in the right direction. The GEFS specifically is trending towards a more extended Pac Jet too.
Attachments
rburrel2
Member
I think we're about to get GFS'ed.
Yeah the GFS is toying with something having a look like this 
rburrel2
Member
Yea, there's some real potential with this threat. Just need the cut off to come out at the right time.
packfan98
Moderator
Look at all the pretty colors…
albertwilsonjr
Member
rburrel2
Member
That's 4 runs in a row with a CAD storm. Plus it's got some EPS support. Also the EPS/CMC/GEFS 5h means all look conducive to something like this with how they set up around day 7/8.
Sleepless nights start again.
no thank you.
Yeah I’m not falling for it this time. It will either be non existent, too far north, or a new wrinkle in the mix too far south.
please. The GSP-CLT crowd needs this… the desperation is higher then ever 