lexxnchloe
Member
QUITE a jump in 6 hours
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Pattern Fab Feb
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
lexxnchloe
Member
ICON is slightly better. Maybe NC gets good trends the next 24 hours
CNCsnwfan1210
Member
Interaction with the northern piece of energy captured the surface low and pulled it NW
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12z GFS looks nice for the DC-BWI corridor. 
Nothing like that’s going to happen. Even the DC crowd isn’t at all believing it. It’s way out on its own and is a terrible model as we know. They’re already anticipating the misery that will occur once the GFS backs way off, which probably will be with the 18Z.
This 34.6” is more than their largest on record, the 28” from the tragic Knickerbocker Storm centered on 1/28/1922. That storm also produced 9-10” at RDU-GSO, which was then the biggest in RDU since 1915.
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
Member
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2017-2023 Supporter
Can't wait for NW flow up here with this system, I know that is pretty much a lock
Yeh the backside vort with this I believe is heavily undermodeled as far as surface.
Yeah somebody up in the MA is getting a lot of snow
#spring?
Brent
Member
Still only drops us down to normal...
I'm about ready to move on from this "winter"
trackersacker
Member
This is my hope. If we can get a nice 1-3 I call that a win
lexxnchloe
Member
A little better for NENC
Makeitsnow
Member
Meanwhile the euro/ais are just slightly different
Is this insane? Is the GFS really this bad this “close” to an event? Compare the GFS to the Euro and also the CMC (all Kuchera): laughable! Should Goody be retired along with NAM?
12Z Euro:
12Z CMC:
12Z GFS:
What’s three feet of snow between friends?
CNCsnwfan1210
Member
Euro AI might be a good compromise for now, all depends if the northern piece neg tilts or not.
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It’s just so much snow 
JHS
Member
| U.S. Drought Monitor
droughtmonitor.unl.edu
No help despite the rain we got Sunday. If anything, it is worse.
Definitely on my bucket list. After I experienced 14' in 12 hours back in dec 2018 ive wanted to experience 3" in 24hrs.
Cad Wedge NC
Member
Where were you at that had 14 feet in 12hours? I think you meant 14" in 12 hours and 3' in 24.
That Tahoe snow was amazing.
CHA broke 2 daily records today:
Low of 59 (old record 57)
High of 78 (old record 77)
Low of 59 (old record 57)
High of 78 (old record 77)
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Shaggy
Member
Never understand these.maps. We have had a 2 year running drought where we are down 24 in he's and we are only in D2?| U.S. Drought Monitor
No help despite the rain we got Sunday. If anything, it is worse.
Aaaand Euro AI has come back slightly
Fwiw LR NAM was solid here and NE. NE NC and VA got a NAMing coming soon, very soon
Huge changes up north, though. Going from an inch in the major metros to the better part of a foot!
CNCsnwfan1210
Member
Hmm…I’d have to say that was a nod more toward the GFS
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lexxnchloe
Member
Its almost go time. Maybe some agreement soon
CNCsnwfan1210
Member
FWIW the 18z EPS SLP mean shifted west
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OBX got NAMmed
Pretty sizeable shift on the rgem
You’ve got to respect the move. It’s a fast shift at 500mb. From the ridge steepening to the west immediately followed by the “phase” of cold air to the east just makes you wonder what can go right and what can go wrong here. Theres a lot coming together very quickly. 
JP152
Member
32.4 at IAD Feb 2010.
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
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2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
This is just baddd