NCHighCountryWX
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Overnight operationals and ensembles before work this morning
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Pattern Fab Feb
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
well well well":
lexxnchloe
Member
Tarheelwx
Member
Green is increased divergence and a greater chance of convection while the red is sinking air and muted convection. So you can use the green to get an idea of where the mjo is vs using the RMM charts. In this case with the divergence near Africa and a second set over in the WPAC this may send the RMM charts into the COD while realistically the MJO does have some life. Given the pacific convection is on the border of MC/WP I wouldn't be shocked at all if the Euro suite starts showing hints of colder if not a full move to colder around 3/1 but especially in the 3/7 to 14 range
Tarheelwx
Member
Did we ever get the early to mid February SSW event?
TW
TW
This 6Z Euro AI op run based on 10:1 has 19” at DC! Of course the 10:1 is way overdone because it has temps 33-35 for the first half of Kuchera. And the Euro AIFS has issues as many of us know with snowfall in general.
However, the 0Z CMC and 6Z GFS do have a big hit per Kuchera of 9”! That’s probably a more realistic scenario for the upside potential imho. If DC were to get 9”, it would be their biggest since the 10.3” of 1/12-14/2019!
No, it wasn’t even close. The lowest the 10 mb 60N zonal wind has gotten this month so far is down only to +19 m/s.
Brent
Member
I cancel my model subscription and oh look
Saturday
Mostly sunny. A chance of rain and snow showers in the morning
Bigedd09
Member
I'm sorry but I and most on this board probably do not care about DC and the Northeast getting 10 inches of snow. Go to the northeast/mid Atlantic board for that garbage
No, we won’t be run off from posting about there and other places. We can post whatever wx (models and actual) we want for wherever. Besides, despite concentrating on the SE US, this board obviously has covered way more than that area. Plus it has active members outside of the S US. Where have you been?
By the way, I posted there the same thing about 9” being a more realistic high end.
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^^Also, we have had systems shift south this winter with the modeling. Very low odds it happens (enough) this time, but if a model shows snow in northern Va five days out, I'll at least keep an eye on it.
So you're saying there's a chance
i was there for you when i had to drive to wilmington to get 6 inches 2 weeks ago
i hope yall will be here for me now
i hope yall will be here for me now
NE NC and SW VA, not to forget NW NC on wraparound. Has nothing to do with DC/NE.
Regardless of what we posted, that poster has no business trying to bully others like he just did. Does he want all wx posts on this board to be centered only on Huntersville? That would be a great way for this board to grow lol. I talk about a lot more wx than just the wx where I live.
Bigedd09
Member
I always thought there was an outside the SE thread? Maybe I’m wrong? Sorry if I came across as a bully. Was not my intention
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trackersacker
Member
Woah
I mean dang that even gets NW ATL involved (hard to tell without county lines but just based on Lanier and the 34°/84° cross line and the angle) and it’s WXNext2, so that's not nothing… small tick SE and you could get the city proper into the mix.
That's a big change on the gfs with the 2nd cold shot around d10
Thank you. There is but I was replying to a post showing the 6Z Euro AIFS ITT that had the bulk of the snow N VA area NEward. That’s why I addressed DC. Also, there have been other posts in here not pertaining to the SE. Furthermore, I do talk about wx far from my area quite often! I think that forecasting wx discussions can be very interesting despite my having no chance to experience that wx. Thus, I enjoy forecast discussions that have nothing to do with my location.
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I think we get a March snow for many in here.
CAD & ICE are King on the latest March edition of the CFS
Well as advertised this storm is well…. Wow. I have seen heavy snow, but this probably the heaviest I have ever seen! Probably close to a foot and a half or more.
Well here's one big shift south on the 18z GFS. Can we get a couple more...
Hour 126:
Hour 126:
NBAcentel
Member
Moyock NC. A place where it’s guaranteed to snow every winter 
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RDU gonna hit 95 before the end of the week
Over 2 feet for sure. Models still want to show another Foot of snow by tomorrow morning.
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Bigedd09
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Not many more places on this entire earth more beautiful than Tahoe. Hope you have a blast bro.
Dude im so happy for you! I know your last few trips there didn't really produce.
Thank you everyone! Crazy lucky really to be honest. The pattern has sucked out west and just happened to see a small pattern change. I am not ready for summer yet, so hope the Trof comes back into the east soon. lol
Lake Tahoe
Brent
Member
The way this winter has gone west of me especially it's just amazing to see it even snowing for real in Tahoe haha
I mean it's been ugly. This winter will be in the books for a lot of not good reasons
There were fires in Colorado and Kansas and Oklahoma today
I mean it's been ugly. This winter will be in the books for a lot of not good reasons
There were fires in Colorado and Kansas and Oklahoma today
lexxnchloe
Member
No snow, but ICON is further south at 0z
12Z
12Z