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Pattern December, Make analogs relevant again

ecmwf_ptype_se_132.png
 
More snowy in parts of NC. will have accumulation maps in a bit.
 
Look @ these dewpoints during the heavier precipitation, main deal:
ecmwf_dew2m_se_25.png
 
Ice accumulation maps trending on Euro towards Canadian. Ruh Roh.
 
ATL would be in play on that one!
 
Oh yeah, ATL is definitely involved with this one.
 
And the EURO is warming those up too strongly with such a strong wedge in place. It dropped KCHS to 34 at 2am Fri (06z) but warms to 40 under solid precipitation falling. Also of note, EURO does have a slight warm bias.
 
Thats a bit alarming. As mike said above, that is concerning from the euro. It would likely be colder and that would put him and me in play for a nasty ice storm
 
deltadog03 said:
Thats a bit alarming. As mike said above, that is concerning from the euro. It would likely be colder and that would put him and me in play for a nasty ice storm
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In the 2014 event, the EURO had me warmer than what is progged with this one. You know how that one turned out come game time.
 
With an anchored high like that, and confluence over the NE at H5, its gonna likely trend stronger *obviously if that setup is right*
 
JtSmarts said:
Oh man Shawn, Im having major deja vu. Is there anyway we could get snow out of this or is sleet our only hope?
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Yes. but baby steps. I'd lean more to a sleet vs snow for our area though.
 
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