WeatherWatch
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The system is going to cut no doubt. Maybe, just maybe some area's in the SE US region will score some snow showers/flurries on the back edge of the moisture.
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Pattern December, Make analogs relevant again
- Thread starter GaWx
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- inspired by mack
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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Looks like a dumpster fire for most, but that 1048 over the lakes moving with the storm, could still make a major CAD event
Cary_Snow95
Member
This run torches us Wednesday
At least there are arctic air coming behind the low.
I don't know doubt it plows through that high, CAD signature
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Clayton Reid
Member
This is absolutely ridiculous! How can the GFS be that wrong!? That model is total trash! Hot us hyped up for nothing. Eric Webber wins this round! SMH!
LOL The GFS has a 1058 MB high in Western Canada.
Storm5
Member
Lol yeah this isn’t a cutting patternI don't know doubt it plows through that high, CAD signature
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WeatherWatch
Member
The GFS is most likely over doing the strength.I don't know doubt it plows through that high, CAD signature
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Storm5
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Energy on the backside doing work . Frozen precip breaking out in Texas and Arkansas
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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We've seen it before a cut through of a low into and through a wedge. It was a few years back , but it happened! But that look verbatim, would be a big time CAD event, if temps were there!I don't know doubt it plows through that high, CAD signature
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GFS goes from a SER on roids with a torchmas, to no ser quick frontal passage and cold to if it blast it through here any faster we will still torch Christmas bc the shot of cold will be so quick.... what?? Goofus at it's best
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Looks like cold chasing moisture.
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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Doubt it, wedges are almost always underdone. See what the CMC says, it's great on CAD temps
Agree with this, really surprised not seeing any miller b solutions showing up
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Storm5
Member
haha you will. I bet there will be many on gefs in a few
Here it comes the backside snow through 204.
Storm5
Member
Lol it plows the low into a 1049 high
Right....
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Right....
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MichaelJ
Member
Panic over this run if you wish but I will await the GEFS and see what the ensemble says before I freak over an operational run of the GFS
WeatherWatch
Member
Watch those waves in the southern stream, one of those waves will bring the real magic.
I think the OP run is out to lunch.
If it cuts through that, I'm gonna start getting my affairs in order.
Chattownsnow
Member
12z gfs = dumpster fire.
The GFS has it really cold on the 29th.
Stormsfury
Member
Um yeah... GFS is notorious for cutting right thru a wedge...
While at upper levels the MLL and ULL can, but the SFC low will be forced to redevelop or move under the wedge. Been thru that time and time again.
For this particular run (as we know the next one will have a completely different look), that's an incoming classic CAD signal.
While at upper levels the MLL and ULL can, but the SFC low will be forced to redevelop or move under the wedge. Been thru that time and time again.
For this particular run (as we know the next one will have a completely different look), that's an incoming classic CAD signal.
Fantasy snow storm alert!
WeatherWatch
Member
The system can cut with a strong high pressure like that. It's not like the core of the highest pressure is extending further south. The system after the Christmas system is our winter storm.
Look at all that cold!
Storm5
Member
Which one is it ??? Earlier you said it’s the system after the system that’s after the christmas system ( which by the way there is no christmas system)
I think it is the 28-29th system
Stormsfury
Member
In a true CAD/wedge situation, cold air whether firmed entrenched or in-situ east of the Appalachains will force the SFC low around to the south of the wedge or redevelop into a new SFC low (alas Miller B). What you can see is a primary SFC low go up the western side of the apps but energy transfer will force a redevelopment generally offshore of Hatteras in many cases
Storm5
Member
I’m just trying to figure out which one HE thinks it is , he’s said two different things already
NoSnowATL
Member
That’s what I’ve been saying so days. New Years time frame is our storm. Glad someone else see that too.
( that storm can dissolve as well but looks as of now to the the best chance).
whatalife
Moderator
There is so much potential in the next coming weeks and important that we don’t get caught up on any one solution right now.
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Everyone there’s no need to panic. We will score on one of these system. It is actually more climatology favorable toward the end of the decemeber.
Cary_Snow95
Member
If you pick every storm you can’t ever be wrong
Seen it many times where models "catch up" and shift sfc low south and east around the dome of cold air. Not saying that will happen here but it is the rare occasion you see trends SE instead of NW
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Storm5
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WeatherWatch
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Correct, there's no Christmas system. Yes, I said that there could be a Christmas system days ago, things change. It's better to be cautious/aware of something that could turn out to be something significant, whether it turns out to be right or wrong. The system after Christmas (the cutter) would be the one to watch out for.