Pattern December, Make analogs relevant again

[NoSnowATL]

TWC is giving me 1-3 on the 29th. I guess I’m back!


( wait they moved it up to the 28th now. )

 

[Tarheel1]

Southeastern US looks warmer ahead of the front this run...

View attachment 2110

Not in SC

 

[Snowfan]

@NoSnowATL you should change your screen name to SnowAtl LOL.

 

[Webberweather53]

Not in SC

In general the SE US is warmer, SC is cooler by maybe a degree or two if that. Yawn.

 

[Webberweather53]

Mmm toasty...

 

[NoSnowATL]

@NoSnowATL you should change your screen name to SnowAtl LOL.

I was thinking about it but if I do that, it would probably jinx the whole SE of every seeing snow again.

 

[NoSnowATL]

Unlike a good amount on here I only got 0.2 in of snow last time. So 1in would be a win.

 

[Tarheel1]

Euro sucks anyway! I'm going with a CMC/GFS blend!

 

[Snowfan]

GFS all the way!

 

[Cary_Snow95]

Euro is much improved wrt the speed of the front

 

[SoutheastRidge]

Unlike a good amount on here I only got 0.2 in of snow last time. So 1in would be a win.

That's the worst when you are so close to the heavy snow yet so far away. I hope you score big between now and New Years !

 

[Torchtember]

Does the HRRR go out to hour 168?

 

[NoSnowATL]

That's the worst when you are so close to the heavy snow yet so far away. I hope you score big between now and New Years !

Dang straight! I was a 15min Drive from 5in of snow. 15 freakin min!! Thanks I hope we all can.

 

[Webberweather53]

Does the HRRR go out to hour 168?

No, the HRRR currently goes out 18 hours, an experimental version to 36 hours.

 

[SoutheastRidge]

Dang straight! I was a 15min Drive from 5in of snow. 15 freakin min!! Thanks I hope we all can.

I've been there. I know the heartbreak.

 

[ForsythSnow]

Honestly I don't know which model is most reliable after the last storm. The CMC did well and better than the Euro did, but we learned the GFS is utter garbage. However, I saw throughout hurricane season that any model can score, so let's root for the most consistent model I would say.

 

[Arcc]

Does the HRRR go out to hour 168?

It would show a hurricane forming off an MCS off the front, bombing to 898mb and hitting NYC.

 

[Webberweather53]

Honestly I don't know which model is most reliable after the last storm. The CMC did well and better than the Euro did, but we learned the GFS is utter garbage. However, I saw throughout hurricane season that any model can score, so let's root for the most consistent model I would say.

The GFS can't score if it's a TC that'll emerge out of the monsoon trough or interact w/ the monsoon gyre, which was the overwhelming majority of tropical cyclones due to convective feedback issues at the sub-grid scale in the model

 

[Snowfan]

Honestly I don't know which model is most reliable after the last storm. The CMC did well and better than the Euro did, but we learned the GFS is utter garbage. However, I saw throughout hurricane season that any model can score, so let's root for the most consistent model I would say.

NAM did fine last storm.

 

[SoutheastRidge]

-45 near Minneapolis.