Yeah as long as this isn’t a one and done and we go to the crapper afterwardsLove to see a favorable pattern showing up for early December. Sun angle is good and only getting better... and we still have the meat of winter season beyond that.
Ugh. I want to love it and I want to say how impressive that is on an ensemble mean at that range.Trend on 18z run of the GEFS over the last 4 days, 5-day avg for Nov 29 to Dec 4..........colder
View attachment 154516
Usually that way it works . Because we use big load of cold …. Early cold not good sign for rest of the way …. Save it for laterYeah as long as this isn’t a one and done and we go to the crapper afterwards
Except for the fact that sometimes we wait and wait and it never comesUsually that way it works . Because we use big load of cold …. Early cold not good sign for rest of the way …. Save it for later
Cold season complaining thread for this. I thought you were gonna be better this year??Except for the fact that sometimes we wait and wait and it never comes
Um I’m replying to the comment above so no it wasn’t complaining it was stating that we should just be glad when we get it.Cold season complaining thread for this. I thought you were gonna be better this year??
Glad you mention this replying to other comments, it's a good reminder, that you can quote a post then reply to it in the complaining thread. It will help keep this thread cleaner without us having to delete or move them. I feel certain this place will become more active in the coming weeks and firmer moderation will return.Um I’m replying to the comment above so no it wasn’t complaining it was stating that we should just be glad when we get it.
Interrsting. Inside 10 days, too.
What are the 2m temps?
It is. And at 180 this H5 pattern is loaded for bear. Euro and GFS are not that dissimilar either. Going to be interesting to see how this trends the next 72 hours.Euro AI trending to a significantly more suppressed height field for that system of interest. View attachment 154523
I would take the reading at your house as official over the inaccurate readings at RDU.Got down to 31 here at the house. So I had a freeze!! But the airport (I think) did not get to freezing. So looking at the GFS, it looks like RDU will have to wait another 10 days of so for another chance. Crazy to have the first (official) freeze in December.
its all out fantasy land still lolFeels weird after the last couple of winters to be looking at the current models output and wondering if we could score something this early in the season, especially considering we still havent had a freeze here yet.