Wintry December 4-7 Winter Precip Chance

[Ollie Williams]

I'm on the line of the circle does that count for anything?View attachment 56124

I'd honestly bet on you guys seeing snow!

 

[Bannerdude]

Moncure = 100% pain....I mean rain

 

[blueheronNC]

I'd honestly bet on you guys seeing snow!

It's going to be a tossup with Pittsboro and Moncure staying as rain.

 

[Stormdoc]

Flakes mixed with rain in Cary

 

[FallsLake]

I got a few snow flakes.

 

[RDUHeatIsland]

Something is starting to fall here. Best guess is a rain/snow mix but's it's starting to get hard to tell as the sun sets. There was an mping report of snow 2 miles to my NW, though.

 

[superjames1992]

Seems like it may be over here now. Didn’t even really get any Snow TV, so kinda meh. Oh well, at least we have a T on the board now.

 

[CyclonicFury]

Very light snow flurries here in western Raleigh!

 

[WNC_Fort]

Beggars can’t be choosers I suppose. Nice to see a few flakes at least.

 

[SD]

Probably overly optimistic but since my temp/dew fallen back to 36/35 I feel ok about it

 

[Avalanche]

Very light snow flurries here in western Raleigh!

Guess the cold caught up with the moisture. Glad you all got to see some. Rain here in Chatham, and very light at that.

 

[Bready86]

Northeast Chatham County - rain/snow mix but light on the flakes...didn’t expect to see any so I’ll consider it a win

 

[SouthGarnerSleet]

Upon closer inspection, and comparing KRAX w/ KAKQ radar reflectivities, looks like even the lowest radar beam is overshooting much the precip in Halifax, Warren, & Vance counties. This means it is likely being generated below 5,000-6,000 feet (850mb ish to sfc). It's gonna be tough, although far from impossinle, to get the Bergeron process going if the 850mb temps where this precip is being generated (apparently) are way above -10C (forecast soundings showed between 0C and -5C). I guess a few isolated spots could be mixing w/ snow perhaps, but this kind of environment actually favors freezing drizzle over snow if sfc temps were below 32F.

Guess it worked out! Snow for the Triad and Triangle!

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Snowing good flakes here in Raleigh wow what a win this is from what I thought was happening

 

[TarHeelSnow]

?

 

[Webberweather53]

Guess it worked out! Snow for the Triad and Triangle!

I think it certainly helped that temps cooled a bit as the core of the upper trough approached

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

I think it certainly helped that temps cooled a bit as the core of the upper trough approached

Always under-modeled it seems .. good food for thought for our next system whenever that may end up being hahaha

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

wind is whipping the flurries around in waves... ladies and gentleman we are now in a FLIZZARD

 

[RDUHeatIsland]

Quick round of snow showers in Cary!

 

[CyclonicFury]

This is a legit flizzard