Agree and the like is for the message, not its substance ...My educated guess is that we’re headed to 300-500K US deaths for the total pandemic. ?
Agree and the like is for the message, not its substance ...My educated guess is that we’re headed to 300-500K US deaths for the total pandemic. ?
Agree and the like is for the message, not its substance ...
and the home team is down by 10 runs, and we don't have relief pitcher in the bull pen ...We’re in only inning 2 of 9 I’m guessing. ?
My educated guess is that we’re headed to 300-500K US deaths for the total pandemic. ?
I’m a little curious about these models. Are social distancing efforts part of the predictions? With recent numbers flat and declining in so many areas, where are the higher predictions coming from?
and that assumes a continuous downward trend on infections from the "peak" ... ever walked in the mountains, ridge top to ridge top? Down, up, down up ...Saw on TV today that the basic curve in a pandemic is that from the point the peak is obtained there would/could be as many deaths on the downward slope of the curve so basically a doubling if the deaths at peak.
Just some talking heads so not sure of its accuracy.
The IHME update halved Georgia’s deaths to around 2k and increased NC’s by over 250% to over 4k. Huh??? I don’t get it. Seems off to me. I don’t see how NC finishes off with more deaths than GA.
My educated guess is that we’re headed to 300-500K US deaths for the total pandemic.
Not far off probably. We are forgetting fall and winter. And subsequent fall and winter of 21-22 as well. Sigh...we’re in this for the long run. Hopefully sports return in 2021 after a vaccine. I can’t see college basketball or football being played this season
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I cant stress enough how important it is for our policy makers to be watching the roadmap that's unfolding in front of us.
Germany's daily coronavirus case count has nearly tripled as regions consider an 'emergency brake' to reinstate harsher lockdowns
Germany's Robert Koch Institute announced 933 new coronavirus cases early Tuesday. The country's departure from lockdown has not been smooth.www.businessinsider.com
Do you forget the key thing about the virus being dormant for up to 2 weeks? Give it time and we will see.Some of the states that skeptics were most worried about, including Florida and Georgia, haven’t seen the rise in total cases that some experts feared.
Heres the link to article.
- Florida’s new cases have actually declined by 14% compared to the previous week, and Georgia’s fell by 12%.
High-risk states are seeing fewer new coronavirus cases
Sam Baker
I would guess more like 100k to 300k. I think we are in inning 7 of 9. I like to be realistically optimistic!My educated guess is that we’re headed to 300-500K US deaths for the total pandemic. ?
Ok, give it as much time as you want. Eventually the skeptics will eat crow, however.Do you forget the key thing about the virus being dormant for up to 2 weeks? Give it time and we will see.