LickWx
Member
highs over performing models today, therefore the storms 10 days away are gonna be warmer we are cooked
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Misc Cold Season Complaining
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
It surprises me that my pessimism for the Midlands of SC angers people who are in climatically favorable areas this time of the year.
Everything I say about the Midlands of SC, predominantly in the form of pessimism, is me trying to translate the actual picture for local members who are less knowledgeable and are subject to the hype that others post about how great things are looking. Not everyone who reads these forums knows how to read a 500MB Vorticity chart.
There's a lot of chaos with different data providers having maps that count all frozen as snow. When someone posts an ensemble mean with blue colors over the Midlands, yet the track of the low doesn't support it, along with a small number of ensemble members skewing the overall mean, I feel like it's my job to be realistic in all of the snow-pumping, over-hyping scenarios. While this applies to my area, which I mainly talk about, it doesn't apply outside of here.
When a storm looks great for the Upstate and into NC, more times than not, it's rain, freezing rain or a mix down this way. It's just how it is.
So with this said, I'm dipping out on the updates for the Midlands of SC area. If people want to over-hype the pattern, talking about how great things are for us down here because 10/51 members of an ensemble show a light event vs. 41 others not, that's fine. Clearly, the majority of people want to live in a dream world and think about all the great possibilities in fantasy land, while anyone who says something in contrast to that fantasy gets heat.
Everything I say about the Midlands of SC, predominantly in the form of pessimism, is me trying to translate the actual picture for local members who are less knowledgeable and are subject to the hype that others post about how great things are looking. Not everyone who reads these forums knows how to read a 500MB Vorticity chart.
There's a lot of chaos with different data providers having maps that count all frozen as snow. When someone posts an ensemble mean with blue colors over the Midlands, yet the track of the low doesn't support it, along with a small number of ensemble members skewing the overall mean, I feel like it's my job to be realistic in all of the snow-pumping, over-hyping scenarios. While this applies to my area, which I mainly talk about, it doesn't apply outside of here.
When a storm looks great for the Upstate and into NC, more times than not, it's rain, freezing rain or a mix down this way. It's just how it is.
So with this said, I'm dipping out on the updates for the Midlands of SC area. If people want to over-hype the pattern, talking about how great things are for us down here because 10/51 members of an ensemble show a light event vs. 41 others not, that's fine. Clearly, the majority of people want to live in a dream world and think about all the great possibilities in fantasy land, while anyone who says something in contrast to that fantasy gets heat.
This has been the suckiest winter out of the 5 I’ve been here, by farrrrrrrrrrrr!
I’m moving
Snowlover34
Member
Even if i don’t see any more snow for the remaining of the winter its safe for me to say now that after receiving above average snowfall from one storm i can move on and rate this winter a A+ in my book as i look forward to spring.
Snowflowxxl
Member
WE ARE NOT GOING TO BE DRY. THE COLD IS OVER MODELED. THIS WILL TREND NW AND WE WILL PROBABLY END UP WITH COLD RAIN BECAUSE TEMPS ARE TOO WARM.
Avalanche
Member
Some darn body need to thank Shawn for keepin’ it real up in here today
ForsythSnow
Moderator
You will get warm rain while we get 100" of snow next storm. We won't be able to dig out.
We're fine I think at this range
SnowNiner
Member
Just can't be cold and dry, that's worst case scenario. Even if it amps SE ridge, I'm hoping the mountains at least get clobbered so I can chase. Cold and dry will be nature craping on me. 
No snow for you!! Ever!!
No snow for you!! Ever!!Snowflowxxl
Member
The negativity worked last storm, so maybe I should keep it up. I was full weenie from 2018-2023.
Today's leftover snowpack from Friday:
Storm cancel 
Drizzle Snizzle
Member
You combine these 2 things and what do you get ?
The coldest rain in history!
I’ll take the odds that the projected cold moderates a little as we get later in this week. Still think it’s a good pattern and I won’t be worried about suppression til maybe 5 days out. We haven’t really keyed on a piece of energy or timeframe yet so there’s still a ton of time.
18z GFS will bring the weenies back I can feel it
18z GFS will bring the weenies back I can feel it
Twister
Member
Suppressed to cuba
LickWx
Member
I always have a hard time believing above average precip when the anomaly map is that cold . Sounds unlikely, I remember the last period we went through being shown to be wet and similarly below average only to end up drier mostly
Can we rename the January thread from Rheem AC to sponsored by your heat strips/wood stove?
No you never ruin the mojo
Avalanche
Member