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Misc Cold Season Complaining

Even though we're setting up for a colder pattern, I think you can tell there really isn't a real threat of snow outside the mountains yet, because we haven't seen many GEFS or EPS snowfall clown maps posted.
 
I've seen 14.605 possibilities and only 1 path to success. I give to you lucky ensemble #13 from the 6z GEFS:
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I'm going to sound like a geek, but this season so far has been a lot like the scene in The Avengers - End Game where Dr. Strange fast-forwards to see all of the possible outcomes and finds only a handful out of millions that result in victory.
 
Even though we're setting up for a colder pattern, I think you can tell there really isn't a real threat of snow outside the mountains yet, because we haven't seen many GEFS or EPS snowfall clown maps posted.
Honestly, it's way too early. If this pattern repeats at the first of January, I'd expect more chances - but still probably going to miss.
 
Even though we're setting up for a colder pattern, I think you can tell there really isn't a real threat of snow outside the mountains yet, because we haven't seen many GEFS or EPS snowfall clown maps posted.
That usually means there isn't a threat when you get those outside of about D5-6. The old mirage. I'm rooting for no snow at all to show up on any modeling in the extended. (I'm not joking either haha).
 
With a few cooler days coming up we may be less then 5 degrees above normal for December at least.
 
Regardless of snow or not these temps are a win...any time we get highs in the 50's and lows in the 30's it's a gift. Next summer we going be avg 100F in July-Aug so I appreciate these periods.

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And just a reminder of how bad last winter was...

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