I appreciate it very much.I tried myself
I appreciate it very much.I tried myself
We're not going to wander around in P6 RCIt had the next ice age starting right after Christmas a few days ago. But that was in the face of the MJO being in P6. What it is showing now makes more sense, if the MJO slows/stalls/loops/dies in P6, like some models now suggest.
Just think over a year from now you will be looking at 4 straight yearsJust a little over a month from now Jan 25 and I will be sitting on 3 straight years with out any accumulating snow.
I'm banking on it for sure and I'm 2 hours north of you and average around 7 inches a snow a year since since 1981. Worst snow drought I have ever been in. I almost want to give up hope but the models always suck you back in then spit you back out and say f u, did you really think I was serious this time and the last time and the one before that and the next time. Oh, winter in the southeast. No other place like it to miss the snow like we do. Maybe one day things will come together but will we still be alive to see it.Just think over a year from now you will be looking at 4 straight years
Will we see rogue flurries from time to time, sure. And where you are at I’m sure you will still eventually see accumulating snow again. But I honestly believe that where I am will never see accumulating snow again. I think even the coast and midlands will luck up at some point and get some. I live in a bad spot and just seem to get shaft no matter what kind of storm it is.I'm banking on it for sure and I'm 2 hours north of you and average around 7 inches a snow a year since since 1981. Worst snow drought I have ever been in. I almost want to give up hope but the models always suck you back in then spit you back out and say f u, did you really think I was serious this time and the last time and the one before that and the next time. Oh, winter in the southeast. No other place like it to miss the snow like we do. Maybe one day things will come together but will we still be alive to see it.
It has always been this way. Many times, we don't start getting sustained modeling momentum towards a real winter storm threat until we're inside D5. I think it's been so long folks have forgotten how it usually works. Not always, of course there's been a few exceptions, but pattern recognition has usually carried the way with some ensemble signals beyond D5 with ops starting to latch on around that time period. This D10 and beyond op stuff is just pure silliness because we're bored and desperate.Can't even get a little excited over model runs showing snow inside 10 days anymore. Has to be inside 7 days at least to even take it as a possibility.
I can't even get fantasy snow anymore
January is supposed to be banging before February turns to crap.
It is unless a few brief cold shots between now and March with 0 snow is what you consider to be winter.Reading X and elsewhere that winter is already over View attachment 155926
I knew it was a good idea to keep the swimming pool open this winter.pattern setting up nicely View attachment 155928
Wait..your telling me there’s something else other than rain?Dang, the ole changing to rain in the afternoon
The good ole days
You have to ignore anything past four or five days. The warming trend probably isn't done.Next weekend is getting warmer and warmer here. Was highs in the mid 30’s now 50. What else is new?
Dude you do realize you're in the South right? What do you really expect with winter here. He$$ it's not gonna be 10° And a foot of snow every winter. Be glad you lucky if you see 20° and 2 or 3 inch snows every once in awhile. It is what it is and that's winter around here, so get use to it!It is unless a few brief cold shots between now and March with 0 snow is what you consider to be winter.
I am used to it lol that’s basically what I was saying. But I definitely wouldn’t call it winter.Dude you do realize you're in the South right? What do you really expect with winter here. He$$ it's not gonna be 10° And a foot of snow every winter. Be glad you lucky if you see 20° and 2 or 3 inch snows every once in awhile. It is what it is and that's winter around here, so get use to it!
Well yeah that's our "Winters" around here whether you want to call it that or notI am used to it lol that’s basically what I was saying. But I definitely wouldn’t call it winter.
Anderson is like 800' elevation isn't it? Does that ever seem to help out? In Roxboro NC it doesI am used to it lol that’s basically what I was saying. But I definitely wouldn’t call it winter.
Atlanta is like 1,000’ in elevation and the elevation never seems to help.Anderson is like 800' elevation isn't it? Does that ever seem to help out? In Roxboro NC it does
I'll regret this before winter is over, but I miss actually having a legitimate threat to track even when they fail in the end. Looking at D10 output and wishcasting is making me feel like a fool. But there's nothing else to do. We tracked the heck out of a 2" clipper I didn't see a flake for, and I got my first flakes in 3 years for Boston. We all still got it, we just need something real to track.
The only thing here that ever works in our favor is a good CAD it seems. Idk why but it seems like Anderson is located in just the wrong spot kind of tucked away in a corner beneath the mountains. It’s just in an awkward spot. Also idk much about the affect of lake hartwell on the weather but it sure seems to have a negative one when it comes to winter weather. Not sure if there is any valid science behind that or not. And then there’s the good ole I-85 issue but I live above that now so at-least I have that going for me.Anderson is like 800' elevation isn't it? Does that ever seem to help out? In Roxboro NC it does
I just want to open a model site and not clinch my ass cheeks that its going to show 384 hours of ----I'll regret this before winter is over, but I miss actually having a legitimate threat to track even when they fail in the end. Looking at D10 output and wishcasting is making me feel like a fool. But there's nothing else to do. We tracked the heck out of a 2" clipper I didn't see a flake for, and I got my first flakes in 3 years for Boston. We all still got it, we just need something real to track.
Winter cancel. Pacific jet too juiced up and the MJO moving to phase 7-8-1 would make it worse.
Roxboro has latitude. The elevation is a minor difference.Anderson is like 800' elevation isn't it? Does that ever seem to help out? In Roxboro NC it does
And the only snow I’ll see is in the pictures you took in ColoradoLooks like the only snow I'll see this year is in Colorado