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Misc Cold Season Complaining

There is no NW trend here. Congrats to the Carolinas on reeling it in a little.
It’s not really a NW trend of the SLP like we’re used to seeing. It’s simply globals starting to see the moisture levels in the area where frontogenesis is maximized. You won’t see much more movement NW, but you may see a huge increase in QPF for areas that are under some now.
 
Like hurricane Helene was the most interesting thing to happen here, but even then relatively mild. (Of course not to the people who lost their homes or lives due to trees, but just saying).

1. Rarely snows (last week first time in 3 years)
2. Warmer than even north Georgia due to the apps.
3. Severe weather doesn’t happen due to CAD
 
Seems overly conservative and in poor judgement to me. A dusting with major road impacts for the evening commute is like a 98% certainty at this point.

I can say the CSRA is noticing (not sure with Columbia). They treated the roads today even out of the WWA (although I suspect that probably comes), some early releases have been announced, and my work was talking about how there could be an early let out if things change.

I'm skeptical on the latter. I was talking about how I might have to leave if you do see snow returns lining up to where it'd hit me (or better yet, if snow starts falling, just tap out then), and I did have another girl say the same.

Honestly, still skeptical. A lot of short range looks good, but the RGEM has a just miss and while the GEM is new DGEX, the RGEM did great on Jan 10th to me. So, I was saying anywhere from flurries to 2 inches of snow seems reasonable.

EDIT: Another thing that I find interesting...honestly, I think we're going to get close to where the roads being treated beforehand is going to be useless with the temps tonight.
 
I can say the CSRA is noticing (not sure with Columbia). They treated the roads today even out of the WWA (although I suspect that probably comes), some early releases have been announced, and my work was talking about how there could be an early let out if things change.

I'm skeptical on the latter. I was talking about how I might have to leave if you do see snow returns lining up to where it'd hit me (or better yet, if snow starts falling, just tap out then), and I did have another girl say the same.

Honestly, still skeptical. A lot of short range looks good, but the RGEM has a just miss and while the GEM is new DGEX, the RGEM did great on Jan 10th to me. So, I was saying anywhere from flurries to 2 inches of snow seems reasonable.
you're getting snow.
 
Current Mood
stand up comedy GIF
 
Personally I think those of us in central Alabama are toast but will definitely be tuning in to the radar and seeing if things overachieve on the northern end to our west.

Pretty awesome storm shaping up for the gulf coast. Happy for those that haven’t scored in a long time. I definitely expect surprises out of this one.
 
18z GFS tried to make something happen with the bowling ball that comes out of the Southwest. We probably need it to come out a little slower like the 12z Euro showed. I'm actually digging this threat. Seems like we may have a decent window to score. Just need that bowling ball to come out when High pressure is in a decent position.

View attachment 165985
Poor SC, just watch your neighbors, it's really not that hard. It can be done, I promise.
 
I said one thing two hours ago and lost Reply privileges? Lol Damn … kind of touchy isn’t it. I get It, but with some of these new ppl posting IMBY every 2 sec I figured one funny statement wouldn’t be the end of the world. I apologize @DustinWx
Not trying to be an ass, I’m serious what did I do ?

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
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Legit question here, Are we not more concerned about the short range models now than the Euro, GFS etc? I thought at this point we might be more concerned with the HRRR and other short term models.
 
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