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Misc Cold Season Complaining
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
AI says, maybe next time frosty.... 
Good news yall apple weather days 6-8” 
️ we good
️ we good
If we can’t get the gulf more involved your best shot at seeing a snow flurry are from the wind blown snow guns on top of Wolf Laurel. We are keeping the blind faith til the bitter end
RDUHeatIsland
Member
Snowflowxxl
Member
Cooked
Iceagewhereartthou
Member
Still don't think we know what this will really do yet, and I am happy to see the GFS and Canadian trends, but my gut tells me this will have a hard time coming NW enough to give my area anything much. I am happy for the coast and CAE, etc to get snow but dang it; I want it too. Yes I got about 1.5 inches of slop last week but that ain't enough. If the coast and CAE get dumped on and I get nothing or a dusting I am going to be upset. Being truthful; an inch or two would be nice but if CAE or CHS gets a foot I'll feel like I got tipped a quarter when the next waiter got a thrown a twenty.
No worries, Captain Canada will save our snow!
Drizzle Snizzle
Member
The Weather Channel now saying 4-8" here on Tuesday.
Round Oak Weather
Member
Where are you located in Georgia?
SASQUATCH
Mobile, AL: Snow Capital of the South
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WolfpackHomer91
Member
Its bc hes flip flopping imo.... Makes it seem like hes got a prerogative. The other day he said GFS was correct bc it had dry, and EURO was wrong bc it had the storm. Now hes flipped, thats my opinion anyway looks like hes cherry picking to keep conservative
Drizzle Snizzle
Member
Americus
Don't take TWC's weather app seriously.
WolfpackHomer91
Member
My first wife was redheaded .... If this is what were counting on im scared, she was legit insane
Round Oak Weather
Member
Way down in south GA. Would be a heck of a storm for y’all to see that
I'd take 1-2 inches of snow & would be happy in Columbia. But it just feels like this has so much more potential than that.
I mean, we spend hours day and night looking at probability models of storms we might not even get. Insane is what we need.
it has a lot of potential.
nam is going to eventually foot+ us and the canadian will back off from it to more normal 3-5
idk who wins
NoSnowATL
Member
Carmen San Diego
Ditto re: I'll take 1-2 inches, but like yourself, it would feel like wasted potential. This feels it could be so much more than a "novelty event" in our area.
Brad is good. Prob the best around here. I believe he’s good because he can separate what he wants to happen from what is most likely to happen. That’s a tough mental barrier there.
Idk man I feel solid for mby still
He is. He's got a method to the way he does things. His biggest weakness is the public though. He lets them get to him so much. The battle he tries to fight against all the people hyping things up etc is a losing one. He's even got well known mets contradicting what he's saying even in the Carolinas, so it's not like it's some random person on YT or tiktok. But I mean respect to him for trying to fight it lol. It's just a lost cause in my opinion. People are going to believe what they want to believe, and that goes with anything in life.
Round Oak Weather
Member
I’m on the north end of central GA
Imagine how bad it’s gonna look sticking to its guns and being completely wrong.
I'd be concerned if I was in a bullseye but I'd also be 40 miles offshore. Feeling pretty good about this one, those N and NW precip expansions in the last 96 hours are delicious
tjed73
Member
I have a feeling the last half decade or so has really jaded him into being this way. The people who flock to comment sections when a storm busts bad are louder than when the forecast misses in a positive way.
Goes without saying it’s way north of that already. Congrats Kentucky?
NoSnowATL
Member
Is that Fro twitter account?
Southern Track
Member
I asked ChatGPT to compare the models:
| Model | Typical Use Cases | Strengths | Limitations |
|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | Large-scale global forecasting | Most accurate for storm tracks, jet streams, and precipitation. | Computationally intensive, fewer updates. |
| GFS | Global, especially North America | High frequency of updates, good global coverage. | Slightly less accurate globally than ECMWF. |
| UKMO | Regional (Europe and surrounding) | Detailed regional forecasting, strong in Europe. | Lower resolution globally. |
| Canadian GEM | North America, winter storms | Strong in snow/ice forecasts. | Weaker in tropical or large-scale systems. |
Agreed. As long as we don't leave that shortwave behind we will be fine. The same models that were more progressive and SE (icon/ukmo) are the same way again. No 2 storms are the same but models make the same mistakes