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Pattern Arid August

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Nice taste of fall coming up. Here is the last paragraph though of the Long Term AFD from FFC:

After this, still seeing ensemble consensus for upper low to slip
south into the northeast Gulf and travel WSW. Big system in the
NWUS also expected to kick upper ridge east into the Midwest so
warming temps and a bit more diurnal convection expected
continuing into the weekend. Can`t rule out extreme heat here by
early next week if this pattern evolves as predicted with large
upper ridge moving into the OH and TN valleys. Low predictability
that far out even with good model consensus, so will do our best
to keep that thing away.

Let’s hope we can avoid that however it would not be unusual. Also not uncommon to get this type of cool break in August. Just makes us realize we are on the downhill slide.
 
Line of strong thunderstorms is just crossing through.
Edit: ~0.85” of rainfall
 
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k0skinne said:
Nice taste of fall coming up. Here is the last paragraph though of the Long Term AFD from FFC:

After this, still seeing ensemble consensus for upper low to slip
south into the northeast Gulf and travel WSW. Big system in the
NWUS also expected to kick upper ridge east into the Midwest so
warming temps and a bit more diurnal convection expected
continuing into the weekend. Can`t rule out extreme heat here by
early next week if this pattern evolves as predicted with large
upper ridge moving into the OH and TN valleys. Low predictability
that far out even with good model consensus, so will do our best
to keep that thing away.

Let’s hope we can avoid that however it would not be unusual. Also not uncommon to get this type of cool break in August. Just makes us realize we are on the downhill slide.
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It’s too early to get a long period of nice, pleasant weather. We’re gonna have some more hot days but at least we know the end is in sight.
 
Arctic sea ice area may challenge first place and break the 2012 record. Bodes well if you want a cold winter as it would mean a snowy North America with all that open sea ice and probably a weakened vortex unlike the last few years .
 
We got highs this week forecasted in the mid 70's with full sun.
And Its time: Friday Football fever kicks into full gear starting this week and College Football starts this Saturday/limited. That's always the finish line for me, when these 2 get going, I can endure the last 2-3 weeks of summer regardless of what it throws out.
If, If, Clemson can beat App week 2. They will probably run the table undefeated reg season this year. forget they got to play 3 other top 10 teams. Week 1 v/s some little school down there in GA. and Nice Job of NOT scheduling anyone tough over at that school in Orange County. NC.

The sleeper team this season to win it all, is Mizzou! Drinkowitz is the man.
 
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LickWx said:
Arctic sea ice area may challenge first place and break the 2012 record. Bodes well if you want a cold winter as it would mean a snowy North America with all that open sea ice and probably a weakened vortex unlike the last few years .
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Need the Beaufort Gyre to reverse.
 
Brent said:
No rain but we had a backdoor cold front put an abrupt end to the excessive heat warning of the last 4 or 5 days around 5pm and we may be done with the 100s for the year with any luck
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Afraid not. The 100's will be back in a big way out there before too long. The latest GFS has them back in much of Texas and parts of Oklahoma as soon as today.
 
JHS said:
Afraid not. The 100's will be back in a big way out there before too long. The latest GFS has them back in much of Texas and parts of Oklahoma as soon as today.
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Not here... Way better than it has been minus the other weekend for 2 days. I'm hearing talk of a bigger front around Labor Day Screenshot_2024-08-19-14-02-19-16_55512d393877b6a311500cc328460e87.jpg
 
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