Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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Only about 1 month and 3/4 , before days start getting shorter!94/77 is coming for him

Only about 1 month and 3/4 , before days start getting shorter!94/77 is coming for him
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In all seriousness though its like winter where the models show a cold shot for a few runs then the wheels come off
Looking at the timing on this, there should be plenty of instability with this coming in at peak heatingThis might be the first solid setup for NC this year when it comes to widespread convection, and basically a 0 tornado threat
Biggest threat would be damaging winds given large inverted Vs/steep low level lapse rates with large Dcape and dry air present in the mid levels, also some minor mid level flow for multicell clusters/minor organization View attachment 117645View attachment 117647View attachment 117652
Well bout time to take the wheels off the cooler pattern wagon anywayView attachment 117648
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In all seriousness though its like winter where the models show a cold shot for a few runs then the wheels come off
Yep, up to this point a big eastern trough meant a cold airmass with potential of frost/freezes. We're now at a point a trough means beautiful weather (70s low humidity); anything else is warm/humid. And those troughs will come through less and less in May.Well bout time to take the wheels off the cooler pattern wagon anyway
Pool, walking, pickleball, storm watching all can take place in this weather. Muy bien
Giddy upPool, walking, pickleball, storm watching all can take place in this weather. Muy bien
Yea because temperatures is supposed to stay the same forever. Yawn
Last fall it was mid September for first real cold front.The point is October is like what September used to be with the heat and humidity backing off near mid month.
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If you're saying it's beautiful it must be all heat; I'll pass.12z euro is absolutely beautiful
Not just heat, but humidity as well with NW flow storm complexesIf you're saying it's beautiful it must be all heat; I'll pass.
No bueno!Giddy up
El Payaso!Giddy up
El Payaso!
06z backed way off this for MBY. We barely even score an Inch for the entire run.Everybody is wet on the GFS! Great news, especially if we are staying in a Niña regime! View attachment 117660
Not bad; MUCH better than mid 80s or even 90s, like it could be. Ideally I'd take the 28th and 29th on repeat but all in all, not too bad!Looking for heat and humidity in the extended likeView attachment 117673
What a great 16 dayView attachment 117674
Fine with me. Garden is in the ground and daily storm chances is what makes summer bearable.GFS has basically caved to the euro with the pattern with temps in the 80s and dews in the 60s starting around day 7 with solid
Amounts of instability each day
This is a solid rain look for the region with a decent threat for rounds of severe (wind hail threats). Bermuda sfc high, stalled "front", numerous disturbances aloft. I don't buy the big deep vortex the 12z gfs around d10 has yet. Big bugaboos in this look is a well defined storm complex to the north forcing the wedge front farther south than currently modeled and crapping out a day or 2 or we get an upper low to dig more than forecast to slowly sink south and park over the regionGFS says let’s fast forward to June, a preview summer swamp Tom Brady Sucks pattern, temps getting close to 90s with dews in the mid 60s, someone hide nicky man !! View attachment 117679View attachment 117680View attachment 117681View attachment 117682
Wow! That’s a lot of cold in Canada! Looks like a November map, with y’all waiting 3 months and chasing 15 gfs cold snaps! ??GFS says let’s fast forward to June, a preview summer swamp Tom Brady Sucks pattern, temps getting close to 90s with dews in the mid 60s, someone hide nicky man !! View attachment 117679View attachment 117680View attachment 117681View attachment 117682
*sad face*
Good news it isn't going to take a lot to make this 84/66 again bad news it's not going to take a lot to make it 54/54 and drizzle. On the bright side a lot of rain on the euro I'd love a wet first half of May*sad face*
Awesome; just need to bleed that down into the upstate please! ?️
We desperately need a wet first half of May. Hard to believe after the extremely wet summer last year where we had +15-20in surpluses we are now way behind and in a moderate droughtGood news it isn't going to take a lot to make this 84/66 again bad news it's not going to take a lot to make it 54/54 and drizzle. On the bright side a lot of rain on the euro I'd love a wet first half of May