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Pattern April Thread

Today's high at DFW was 86*F with Sunny skies.

It seems next weekend might just be the 4th weekend in a row with top shelf weather! ??
 
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Mesoscale Discussion 0396
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0500 PM CDT Mon Apr 04 2022

Areas affected...Southern Texas

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible

Valid 042200Z - 050000Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

SUMMARY...Isolated supercells may continue to mature over northern
Mexico and cross the Rio Grande into southern Texas over the next
1-2 hours. If/when this occurs, storms will pose a severe hail
threat and possibly damaging winds. Trends will be monitored, and a
watch is possible if this scenario appears likely.

DISCUSSION...Latest GOES imagery and reflectivity mosaics show
thunderstorms developing off the terrain of northern Mexico to the
southwest of the Del Rio, TX area. Cloud top cooling has been noted
in IR imagery over the past hour, suggesting that this activity is
becoming increasingly robust. These storms may drift east towards
the Rio Grande over the next 1-2 hours and encounter improved
boundary-layer moisture with dewpoints in the low to mid 60s. A 20Z
sounding from Del Rio captures this moisture well and also reveals
meager mixed-layer inhibition and around 1000 J/kg MLCAPE as well as
an elongated, nearly straight hodograph above 1 km. This environment
will likely maintain the northern Mexico convection and support
eventual storm splitting (with an attendant large hail/wind risk)
across parts of southern TX. The severe risk will be conditional on
this convection actually moving off the terrain, but has been
depicted in latest HRRR guidance, which lends credence to the
scenario. Trends will be monitored and a watch may be needed if
confidence in this scenario continues to increase.

..Moore/Thompson.. 04/04/2022

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...CRP...EWX...SJT...

LAT...LON 29570125 29960102 30350046 30420007 30319955 29739933
28739931 28369953 28269991 28410037 28580054 29080085
29300106 29570125
 
Early to mid next week is looking more interesting for storms from the southern plains into at least the western southeast. Monday and Tuesday have caught my attention locally, but it’s still a week out of course.
 
DFW might have a shot at its 2nd 90*F+ high of the year today.
 
Last edited:
EmersonGA said:
Oh I know. I was just playing on his trust issues.
Click to expand...

Just curious, what did your tempest say your high was yesterday? That's awesome you got one, they are great. My low was only 41F.
 
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