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Pattern April Thread

As far as leaf out, I'd say we're about 85-90% there.

The typical late bloomers are just not budding and leafing out now.
 
I'm still hugging the GFS, has this for the 22nd, a bit cooler. And actually the western upstate looks no warmer than low 80s on either model so I can handle that for a day or two, you can have the high heat. :D

gfs_T2m_us_26.png


Then another front clears through on the 27th - not bad

gfs_T2m_us_44.png
 
GFS/GEFS (although some members warmed) continues to be a cool/weaker ridge outlier to the CMC/EURO/EPS/CMCE 928C94CE-F9AC-4DA7-B515-00FC684F6AB2.pngBE752100-A524-4376-A9F7-B2A8F4BA2905.png9AAC9245-859B-4987-99C4-15A6494F1142.png
 
I'm really hoping we can get a widespread rain on Monday. I keep thinking the models will start to trend dryer as we get closer; and sure enough the 18z brings down the lower totals from Virginia into north NC. 18z GFS at hour 60: 1650152246422.png
 
I'm really hoping we can get a widespread rain on Monday. I keep thinking the models will start to trend dryer as we get closer; and sure enough the 18z brings down the lower totals from Virginia into north NC. 18z GFS at hour 60: View attachment 117413
NAMS been fairly consistent showing .5-1 widespread for much of the area .. coastal regions need it more than us so that’s good they will still get a soaking.. hopefully some of us outside can get under some good bands
 
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