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Pattern April Showers

SoutheastRidge said:
Temps better fall in a hurry the next 6 hours if theres going to be a freeze in many of the areas under a Freeze Warning. At 1am, Rome is at 45, Cartersville 44, and Dalton 43.
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It's going to get there. I'm at 33/31 so we will hit freezing before the sun comes up.
 
This is a crazy contrast
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GFS has been slowing down the wave and allowing HP to build in to the north. Could be a really cold rain on Saturday if this keeps up. NC/VA border counties could be interesting.

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This is crazy. 48 hours out and we could have anything from 30s and snow here Saturday, or 70s and a chance of severe weather. No one really has any idea yet.
 
Brick Tamland said:
This is crazy. 48 hours out and we could have anything from 30s and snow here Saturday, or 70s and a chance of severe weather. No one really has any idea yet.
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I'm more excited about the front and the strong winds/radical temp change. Events like this don't really happened east of the apps.

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Kylo said:
GFS has been slowing down the wave and allowing HP to build in to the north. Could be a really cold rain on Saturday if this keeps up. NC/VA border counties could be interesting.

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It’s causing a S trend and the crying and hatred and cliff jumping in the Mid Atl thread, is epic right now!!
 
Tarheel1 said:
It’s causing a S trend and the crying and hatred and cliff jumping in the Mid Atl thread, is epic right now!!
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I may or may not be praying for the south trend to continue lol, ik I won't get any snow but I just want to see the MA goons cliffjump

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Brick Tamland said:
This is crazy. 48 hours out and we could have anything from 30s and snow here Saturday, or 70s and a chance of severe weather. No one really has any idea yet.
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It’s either going to be just rain or Severe. No snow below the NC VA border counties
 
ForsythSnow said:
Check the 850s. They are horrid for anywhere near the NC border and the soundings for when precip is still in the area are so bad sleet or ZR isn't even an option.

Not to mention that that the temps are getting worse by the run for the 850s.
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So really cold rain, the coldest rain ever.

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Score another win for the UK. Most supressed with this weekends rain event and all models folding to it today. Looks like a washout on Saturday for most of us.

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There's still a 50F spread on the latest SREF plume for RDU on Saturday, this is absolutely absurd for this range, I've never seen anything like this. Severe weather and/or rain/snow/ip are both legitimately possible & none, one or the other, or both could occur.
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UK developing the surface low closer to the coast and slowing it down past couple of runs. Looks like that atlantic ridge is to blame.

Miserable April Saturday on the UK, temps in the mid 30F's with a bunch of rain and wind.

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18z NAM is faster with the cold front and there’s more precip this time. Lots of locations in central NC at 32-34F with cold heavy rain mixed with sleet and snow this run... Still can’t believe we’re inside 36 hours and snow, sleet, freezing rain, regular rain, thunderstorms, and tornadoes are all very legitimately still in play.
 
Webberweather53 said:
18z NAM is faster with the cold front and there’s more precip this time. Lots of locations in central NC at 32-34F with cold heavy rain mixed with sleet and snow this run... Still can’t believe we’re inside 36 hours and snow, sleet, freezing rain, regular rain, thunderstorms, and tornadoes are all very legitimately still in play.
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Happy hour has commenced.... this is crazy just 36 hours out. Of course this would be mostly ip I believe but still
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metwannabe said:
Happy hour has commenced.... this is crazy just 36 hours out. Of course this would be mostly ip I believe but still
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The models slowly but surely across the board have been trending towards this solution, if they continue to tick south w/ the low track and we get a secondary to develop via diabatically from convection further west we'll be right back to square one where we were a few days ago.
 
Webberweather53 said:
The models slowly but surely across the board have been trending towards this solution, if they continue to tick south w/ the low track and we get a secondary to develop via diabatically from convection further west we'll be right back to square one where we were a few days ago.
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If that includes some wintry weather here I'll take it, but a NC only? Not again!
 
Don’t get Nam’d, people. Hit me up when the RGEM is on board!
 
Webberweather53 said:
18z NAM is faster with the cold front and there’s more precip this time. Lots of locations in central NC at 32-34F with cold heavy rain mixed with sleet and snow this run... Still can’t believe we’re inside 36 hours and snow, sleet, freezing rain, regular rain, thunderstorms, and tornadoes are all very legitimately still in play.
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Close to a sleet sounding for many in nc with a warm nose from h8-9 then below freezing from 900 to right above the surface.

This pretty classic wedge sounding below before the mid levels start cooling
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Gfs is even more of a snow surrounding but saturation is lost
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I think we are finally turning the corner and headed into spring around here. After Tuesday, no more highs in the 40s !
 
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