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Pattern April Oven

The 18z GFS is awful for much of NC and it would not take much to be bad for upstate SC too. It also shows no rain for anyone after this weekend through the end of the run. If these next 2 chances miss, we may be dry for a while.
 
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Strong storms this morning with 0.63" of rain here, and temps not getting out of the 60s today, feeling like March. The wind gusts knocked the power out for half an hour though, strong wind is evil and useless.
 
Major forecast bust today in NC/SC. Quite literally nothing on the radar of significance despite healthy coverage forecast from ILM. Some mist/showers way down near Hilton Head but that's it.

With tomorrow dry too that'll leave us at .07" for the month. Driest April I can find on record for Florence.
 
Probably destroyed the dry spell here. Radar estimates 2-4" fell last night.

Kudos to the Euro Weeklies breaking the dryness and having it quite wet in N AL for the week 4/27-5/3, following it having it still dry 4/20-26, way back on this April 17th run and never letting that go (it even had hints of a wetter signal for that week for some runs before April 17th):

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Another 0.36" overnight for CHA with 0.42" at the house.
2 day totals of 1.89" at CHA airport and 1.76" at the house. Good to see the precip was fairly broadbrushed over the area.
 
0.57" overnight brings the 2-day total to 1.20", and monthly to 1.47". Still a dry April but not breaking any records. The rain ended as the sun came up and now a beautiful sunny spring day headed to 77ºF.
 
From the North Carolina Weather Authority on Facebook.

3:25PM: Further clearing SW of Raleigh and Greensboro, it has turned into quite a nice day with temps well into the 70s now! CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) values across the Foothills and southern Piedmont have risen to about 1,500 J/kg, which is enough to support some scattered showers/storms, so we will see if any try to develop later today. The severe weather threat remains low, but no 0.

The circled area is where the clouds have finally started to clear out.

-Ethan

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522
WWUS82 KGSP 292201
SPSGSP

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
601 PM EDT Wed Apr 29 2026

NCZ056-292230-
Catawba NC-
601 PM EDT Wed Apr 29 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTH CENTRAL CATAWBA COUNTY
THROUGH 630 PM EDT...

At 600 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Newton, moving southeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to outdoor objects is
possible.

Locations impacted include...
Newton, Maiden, and Startown.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3561 8107 3555 8113 3556 8120 3565 8132
3570 8128
TIME...MOT...LOC 2200Z 300DEG 14KT 3563 8121

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

$$

PM
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