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Pattern Ah-choo April Discussion

Storm5 said:
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That's Monday , the heatwave is Fri/Sat! Show us the 15 day GFS rainfall!
 
Storm5 said:
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Phil, what's with what looks like 79 at Gainesville but only 70 at Ocala? Maybe it has it then cloudy and possibly raining at Ocala but sunny at Gainesville?
One thing about Gainesville: it is a nighttime champ of chill when there are good radiational conditions but that also often means rapid warming after those cool nights.
 
15 degrees plus above normal, yes that's a heatwave and the precip is starting the NW trend! :(
 
Storm5 said:
00z euro rains on your drought parade
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.7 is better than .25, but not a drought buster.
 
Those GFS maps are dry for most of SC and GA. After a promising look just yesterday, this weekend's system is drying up. This is not done trending north and drier either. Anyone south of I-40 will be lucky to get .25 this weekend.
 
JHS said:
Those GFS maps are dry for most of SC and GA. After a promising look just yesterday, this weekend's system is drying up. This is not done trending north and drier either. Anyone south of I-40 will be lucky to get .25 this weekend.
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Yup - some folks may get lucky; many others, sigh ... :mad:
 
JHS said:
Those GFS maps are dry for most of SC and GA. After a promising look just yesterday, this weekend's system is drying up. This is not done trending north and drier either. Anyone south of I-40 will be lucky to get .25 this weekend.
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So we Toss the Euro because the gfs has been all over the place ????


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Storm5 said:
Wait this is a heatwave ?? Looks like spring in the south


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So this winter are you going to hug the GFS as hard as you are right now? The CMC/Euro/EPS say its going to be similar to June by late in the week. I'm not going to take my chances on models showing significant rain once we get more into the convective season, it rarely if ever works out. In reality it will be congrats to those under a storm that get an inch or 2 of rain but for the other 50-60% that get .1 or less, its more of the same
 
SD said:
So this winter are you going to hug the GFS as hard as you are right now? The CMC/Euro/EPS say its going to be similar to June by late in the week. I'm not going to take my chances on models showing significant rain once we get more into the convective season, it rarely if ever works out. In reality it will be congrats to those under a storm that get an inch or 2 of rain but for the other 50-60% that get .1 or less, its more of the same
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Hug the gfs ??? You have a blind eye to euro maps I posted I see .Low 80s isn't that bad. Hell of that's June like Weather sign my ass up for that in June . Not hugging anything the reality is the gfs and euro are both showing nice rain totals over the next ten days . Obviously some will get more than others , that's reality when dealing with weather. Plus I only care about my backyard. When you start heading into summer you take what you can even if it's at the expense of others.

I will keep with how much rain everyone gets over the next ten days and we can look at it next weekend


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Storm5 said:
Hug the gfs ??? You have a blind eye to euro maps I posted I see .Low 80s isn't that bad. Hell of that's June like Weather sign my ass up for that in June . Not hugging anything the reality is the gfs and euro are both showing nice rain totals over the next ten days . Obviously some will get more than others , that's reality when dealing with weather. Plus I only care about my backyard. When you start heading into summer you take what you can even if it's at the expense of others.

I will keep with how much rain everyone gets over the next ten days and we can look at it next weekend


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So since we are talking IMBY only the Euro is near 90 Friday/Saturday with .6 of rain, thankfully the EPS is a little more supportive. That's not spring, thats June

Fri 87, Sat 89 Sun 86.....boy not sure when I moved to Macon.
 
The one thing I will say that I do find interesting is how the GFS/CMC did seem to drift the wedge front a little farther south at 12z
 
Since most bitching are from North Carolina here is the 12z gefs for the next ten days
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I thought Sunday was supposed to be a big rain maker, with the low coming through TN!? Are we losing this one to the North? And yeah, my highs for T,F,SAT are 88,89,88. My normal high is 71-72 I believe!
 
SD said:
So since we are talking IMBY only the Euro is near 90 Friday/Saturday with .6 of rain, thankfully the EPS is a little more supportive. That's not spring, thats June

Fri 87, Sat 89 Sun 86.....boy not sure when I moved to Macon.
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85 86 for me . It's not like we haven't seen temps like this in April before . I never understand the oh my word reactions like this is something new


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Tarheel1 said:
I thought Sunday was supposed to be a big rain maker, with the low coming through TN!? Are we losing this one to the North? And yeah, my highs for T,F,SAT are 88,89,88. My normal high is 71-72 I believe!
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Would you rather have that now and have them through June July and August with about 30 90+ days or cooler now and 90 90+ days later on in summer? I would think that an incoming Nino would prevent warmer days as we get closer to the end of they year since we won't be in a Nina like last year.
 
ForsythSnow said:
Would you rather have that now and have them through June July and August with about 30 90+ days or cooler now and 90 90+ days later on in summer? I would think that an incoming Nino would prevent warmer days as we get closer to the end of they year since we won't be in a Nina like last year.
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you'll not see only thirty 90º-plus days here short of an ice age ... LOL
 
Storm5 said:
85 86 for me . It's not like we haven't seen temps like this in April before . I never understand the oh my word reactions like this is something new


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You said nice spring weather, I disagreed and said it was similar to June. Am I incorrect? Perhaps our definition of spring weather is different, I personally am looking for 70-80 not 85-90
 
12z euro steady as she goes . Around an inch for many that have been bitching all morning . I hope that hole with .2-.3 sets up right over SDs house
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whatalife said:
So I'm confused Am I going to die by fire or by water...BTW the two don't mix


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Maybe cold!!?? If the CFSv2 is right! 45 days of heat wave crushing cold!
 
I'm gonna take a wild guess and say that Atlanta will probably have its 15th straight Above Normal month for Temps ! When will it ever end ?
 
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