Never bet against a low amp wave and west vectored 500mb winds in the south. Especially in April.
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Severe 4/4-4/6 Severe Threat
- Thread starter Snowfan
- Start date
Psalm 148:8
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What are you thinking about tomorrow.. glen burns is usually a hype master.. and he down playing tomorrow somewhat.
Z
Zander98al
Guest
Really makes the difference, those 500mb winds, especially located just south of a warm front, pretty much all of south Alabamas warnings came from that southern split Jetstreams due west vector area that the warm front was ahead of. We were pretty lucky that low level lapse rates were as poor as they were here. Georgia and south Carolina were not as lucky.
You had a few beasts that just wouldn't drop thankfully, that were spinning like a top.
Stormsfury
Member
I don't know. The Easter 2020 outbreak produced its first ever EF4 IN SC for Charleston NWS WFO area of responsibility. We may have had several just today with Allendale and Ulmer, not to mention the Pembrooke/EllaBell GA tornado also in KCHS area of responsibility. These types of outbreaks just normally don't occur here.
When I looked at it earlier, lack of helicity will be the biggest inhibitor to tornado chances. But honestly I was up at 4am trying to finish the barn roof before the storms so I haven’t looked too deeply into it.
Kind of backwards today, the time of day helped AL, but hurt GA and SC.
campamy
Member
Read through the tweets, apparently it was the golf course club house and he was locked out ?
tractor girl
Member
Haven't seen this posted in thread. SPC for tomorrow:
New SPC day 1 outlook:
Biggest change was to add 10% tornado probabilities to south and central Georgia. Otherwise just a few minor adjustments compared to previously.
Biggest change was to add 10% tornado probabilities to south and central Georgia. Otherwise just a few minor adjustments compared to previously.
Psalm 148:8
Member
- Joined
- Dec 25, 2016
- Messages
- 241
- Reaction score
- 428
Just read the BMX discussion… with so many limiting factors and if/then possibilities, wonder why SPC went elevated risk instead of slight risk today?
Brick Tamland
Member
I wonder why they have 5 categories instead of 4, especially when marginal and slight mean the same thing, and enhanced is actually greater than moderate. I know WRAL just says level 1 through 5 because of this.
Today looks more like a microburst threat with large amounts of DCAPE/dry air aloft and enough shear for orginization into multicell clusters, sneak peak to summer setup with things being driven by outflow boundaries. Could be a couple rotating cells as low level shear increases later
There’s a decent signal on the hrrr that in the stratiform region, a RIJ might develop, which happens with MCSs. Small chance we get a MCS that develops later in SC/GA and the attendant OFB moves into NC later 
Brick Tamland
Member
Looks like a lot of coverage in SC and eastern GA.
Z
Zander98al
Guest
Don't see much happening in the central Alabama area today maybe a bit of wind damage.
Only thing I see happening is some nice looking supercells in the sky, good day to be outside watching. May even see a wall cloud ?
Only thing I see happening is some nice looking supercells in the sky, good day to be outside watching. May even see a wall cloud ?
Darklordsuperstorm
Member
Fog and low clouds hanging pretty tough this a.m. wonder if this will have an effect at all in mitigating explosive development. Im still sitting at 65 degrees.
HSVweather
Member
68/67 with a few breaks in the clouds here. I don’t expect much here as any storms should be severe to my south and east.
HSVweather
Member
13Z HRRR from 2pm to 2am
