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Severe 4/4-4/6 Severe Threat

Clearing here. RAP/HRRR bringing over 1500 CAPE to most of central and eastern NC. SHR meh, but up toward SE VA along the warm front is looking like it has some potential later today
 
jackendrickwx said:
Clearing here. RAP/HRRR bringing over 1500 CAPE to most of central and eastern NC. SHR meh, but up toward SE VA along the warm front is looking like it has some potential later today
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I was hoping it would stay cloudy and rainy all morning. I think that helped us avoid more severe storms last week.
 
weatherfide said:
Surely, the greatest threats were flooding and lightning with those storms last night, for my area. It was still as a corpse. Wind was not a factor.
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Here in northern GVL county in SC it wasn't much more than a rainstorm.
No wind only a couple of strikes of ⚡ & thunder.
Nothing Sevier or even borderline.
Thankful watching places to my south & west.
 
jackendrickwx said:
Clearing here. RAP/HRRR bringing over 1500 CAPE to most of central and eastern NC. SHR meh, but up toward SE VA along the warm front is looking like it has some potential later today
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It's a good set up for our area locally to have a severe storm or 2 that has broad rotation but I think our biggest threat with long straight hodos and steepening mid layer lapse rates will be abnormally large hail for our area and maybe some downbursts. I wouldn't entirely rule out a weak brief tornado as far west as US1 but it's going to be really hard to tighten any rotation up imo.
 
Let's see if the HRRR is even close today, if correct somewhere in NE NC/SE Va gonna get a tor warning or two

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Full Sun is out here..

Currently
74F
Pressure 29.63 in
Visibility 10 miles
Clouds Partly Cloudy
Dew Point 65 F
Humidity 65 %
 
Little more warm sector development now. HRRRRRRRR says excitement ain’t till 4-5pm at least
 
jackendrickwx said:
Little more warm sector development now. HRRRRRRRR says excitement ain’t till 4-5pm at least
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I get more worried about severe weather here when we've had some clearing and the sun has been out a while as opposed to what we had last week when it was raining all day. Seems that's when we have a better shot at having more widespread events, usually happening in the late afternoon and early evening. It's either then or we have it happen overnight when it's been warm for a while.
 
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Probably the area to watch for development of cells over the next 60-90min. Little more bubbling of clouds and now some radar response in that region
 
Feel like storms outside for the first time this season. 81 over 64....timing actually during afternoon for a change.
 
SD said:
And here we go
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Might be a decent severe event for central and eastern NC.....

Pretty decent parameters

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TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 104
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
310 PM EDT THU APR 7 2022

TORNADO WATCH 104 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

NCC013-015-029-031-041-049-053-055-061-063-065-069-073-077-079-
083-085-091-095-101-103-107-117-127-131-133-137-139-143-147-177-
181-183-185-187-191-195-080100-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0104.220407T1910Z-220408T0100Z/

NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BEAUFORT BERTIE CAMDEN
CARTERET CHOWAN CRAVEN
CURRITUCK DARE DUPLIN
DURHAM EDGECOMBE FRANKLIN
GATES GRANVILLE GREENE
HALIFAX HARNETT HERTFORD
HYDE JOHNSTON JONES
LENOIR MARTIN NASH
NORTHAMPTON ONSLOW PAMLICO
PASQUOTANK PERQUIMANS PITT
TYRRELL VANCE WAKE
WARREN WASHINGTON WAYNE
WILSON
 
Me , DownEast & Shaggy are in the *Tor Watched* area(s) anyone else?

S~ SW winds have picked up @22MPH gusts too 25+ In the last hour or so.. Temps have busted on the High side 81F here now..
 
Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
339 PM EDT Thu Apr 7 2022

NCC085-101-183-072015-
/O.CON.KRAH.SV.W.0017.000000T0000Z-220407T2015Z/
Harnett NC-Wake NC-Johnston NC-
339 PM EDT Thu Apr 7 2022

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM EDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN HARNETT...SOUTH CENTRAL WAKE AND NORTHWESTERN
JOHNSTON COUNTIES...

At 338 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Angier, or near
Lillington, moving northeast at 50 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to
roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Smithfield, Lillington, Fuquay-Varina, Clayton, Angier, Coats, Four
Oaks, Coats Crossroads, Buies Creek and Raven Rock State Park.
 
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