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Severe 3/21-3/24 Severe Weather

Pretty strong rotation in the tornado warned storm heading to the state line
 
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Mesoscale Discussion 0311
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0256 PM CDT Tue Mar 22 2022

Areas affected...Western Alabama

Concerning...Tornado Watch 62...

Valid 221956Z - 222200Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 62 continues.

SUMMARY...Some threat for damaging wind gusts and QLCS tornadoes
will continue into western Alabama this afternoon. The threat will
generally be greater in west-central Alabama where moisture/buoyancy
is greater.

DISCUSSION...Storms within central/eastern Mississippi have largely
remained linear this afternoon. There are some discrete cells ahead
of the the primary line. The most substantial of these discrete
storms is moving northeast through Kemper County, MS and has
recently shown a TDS on KDGX radar. The overall expectation is for
these cells to be overtaken by the line in the next 60-90 minutes.
Going forward, wind damage and QLCS tornadoes are expected to be the
primary threats as convection moves into western Alabama. The
environment ahead of the convective line has been able to warm to
near 80 F in several places. However, moisture return in Alabama has
been much less than in Mississippi. Consequently, MLCAPE values have
remained from 300-400 J/kg in northern Alabama to 500-700 in
west-central Alabama. Due to the forward speed of the line, it is
uncertain how much further destabilization can occur through the
afternoon. In any event, some potential for damaging wind gusts and
QLCS tornadoes will exist given the strong low-level winds and
low-level hodograph turning observed in region VWPs.
 
Zander98al said:
These supercells aren't doing much which is good, lack of mid-level lapse rates?
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That’s what some have been saying here for a couple days, lots of signals the last few days to what we are seeing now, I even mentioned a couple days ago that this setup has shear parameters more favorable for training/flooding. not to say supercells could really get going and produce over the next couple of hours,
 
Bama Ravens said:
While it is still likely we will see more tornadoes and possibly a strong one somewhere, I personally don't think the moderate risk has verified today. Either in placement of the moderate risk or in intensity of the storms.
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I think It was decent, there's probably going to be a lot of tornado reports I'n the coming days. The amount of QCLS tornado spin ups have been insane over MS. Haven't had the classic supercell tornadoes but spin ups galore. Your biggest threat though so far today has been damaging winds and flooding it seems.
 
WOW. Very impressive signature at the west point one for being so close to the radar still with a TDS. May have a significant tornado there
 
Those northern line rotations are looking nasty now. This event is far from over.
 
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