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Severe 3/1-4 SEVERE WEATHER

Tor watch comin east

565
ACUS11 KWNS 031912
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 031912
TNZ000-NCZ000-SCZ000-GAZ000-032045-

Mesoscale Discussion 0247
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0112 PM CST Fri Mar 03 2023

Areas affected...Eastern Tennessee into parts of northern Georgia

Concerning...Severe potential...Tornado Watch likely

Valid 031912Z - 032045Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

SUMMARY...An additional watch will likely be needed for parts of
eastern Tennessee and northern Georgia. Despite weaker
thermodynamics, strong, veering low-level winds will support a risk
for damaging winds and brief tornadoes.

DISCUSSION...A fast moving line of storms will continue eastward
through Middle Tennessee and northern Alabama. Strong wind fields
continue to be sampled by regional VAD data. Some cloud cover has
kept temperatures a bit subdued, particularly in north Georgia.
Parts of eastern Tennessee have warmed into the mid 70s F. Between
cooler temperatures, decreased moisture, and warmer temperatures
aloft (especially with southward extent), the overall thermodynamic
environment will likely be weaker than areas to the west. However,
storm motion in addition to 50-70 kts within the boundary layer
would support a threat for damaging winds even with relatively weak
updrafts. Strong low-level shear would also promote some risk for
brief tornadoes within the line of storms. A watch for parts of this
region will likely be needed this afternoon.

..Wendt/Grams.. 03/03/2023
 
The cell just outside of Carrollton, GA is becoming semi-discrete with a little rotation on the south end. Might be worth watching.
 
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