Oconeexman
Member
- Joined
- Jan 2, 2017
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Reset my rain total on my station this morning...had 1.01" since midnight when I reset. Nearing 2" for the day...woohoo
This thread is great ! I want to whine too now . We need 70 we are severely overdue , wonder if we are closing in on record consecutive days without one . Screw that CAD .
Yeah I’ll pass on that, unless that low near Atlantic Canada is further westThis is what I’m worried about, and seems to be the model consensus. The ridge is way too SE, and is going to cause all storms to cut. Until I see models shift away from that look, even in the short range, I’m going to be more bearish about this pattern.
View attachment 61574
This is what I’m worried about, and seems to be the model consensus. The ridge is way too SE, and is going to cause all storms to cut. Until I see models shift away from that look, even in the short range, I’m going to be more bearish about this pattern.
View attachment 61574
Certainly , however we average 9 days over 70 in winter including a couple in January but it’s been since November ! So very unusual .Lick,
We've already had a 78 high here officially! Maybe move south? I'd be glad to trade for your wx today. Cold rain is awesome (not just the member). Cold anything is awesome (per SE standards that is).
Noon:
SAVANNAH ARPT PTSUNNY 78 67 68 S17G28 30.14F
Agree 1000%..this spells cool and rainy for 90% of us...no real cold. Baffin Block= negative nao that actually helps usAmen! It's almost like it's a different facet of the WAR problem we've had for a decade. If we really want a true -NAO, show me the block in baffin bay......but with strong negative anomalies on the east coast/east canada north east in to the Atlantic. Show me consistent and persistent 50/50 lows, not ridging off the NE coast. Until I see that, this pattern and -NAO sucks because we're not going to get cold any other way with everything bottled up over Siberia IMO. Still not sold that this is a classic -NAO without that.
I'll pass on the heat but sign me up for some drought. Anything but this constant rain would be a welcome change!Can we just fast forward to summer heat and drought?
Damn heart palps is the weirdest thing ever
Well Damn! ?I went from flurries to this! NAM called it!View attachment 61514
There’s Way to much Impatience right nowWhy does the tone in the January thread seem so much less optimistic than just last night? I don't get it. The model consensus is still MUCH colder than it was just 2 days ago! And we still have the SSW on the way and it is still every bit as strong as what earlier runs have shown. As a matter of fact, the lagging GEFS is so much stronger than it was and is now fairly close to the Euro as @Webberweather53 expected would occur.
We overanalyze stuff.Why does the tone in the January thread seem so much less optimistic than just last night? I don't get it. The model consensus is still MUCH colder than it was just 2 days ago! And we still have the SSW on the way and it is still every bit as strong as what earlier runs have shown. As a matter of fact, the lagging GEFS is so much stronger than it was and is now fairly close to the Euro as @Webberweather53 expected would occur.
Facts haha, we’re way to focused on specifics in the LR when it could change, especially on a smoothed ensemble meanWe overanalyze stuff.
I haven’t seen a fantasy storm for January yet. This winter sucks.Facts haha, we’re way to focused on specifics in the LR when it could change, especially on a smoothed ensemble mean