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Misc 2020/21 Fall and Winter Whamby Thread

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tractor girl said:
We haven't had a decent (6-8") snow event near where I am along I-20 corridor since idk, like 2011 or so. The big snow from a few years ago literally was rain for us but drive NW 15 miles, lots of snow. North GA down to the north ATL suburbs usually do OK. South of I-20 not so much.
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Well, like I've mentioned already this winter.. I've literally looked up from my porch and saw it snowing on Signal Mt.. about 600 feet above the valley floor. ;)
 
SETNwx said:
What's interesting about this map is that it shows that part of the deep south, mainly east Texas through LA and Miss, actually got a good snow out of a 'crap' pattern, much like other parts of the US South did in previous years. Chattanooga in Feb 2020, those Dec snows for Alabama and Georgia of 2017-18... and Jan 18 for NC. Now middle Alabama through SC/Columbia south has been screwed. But it still snows in the South, even with marginally cold Winters...
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Yeah, that’s why I don’t get too caught up in chasing patterns. Good patterns don’t always produce and bad patterns sometimes produce. Obviously, a good pattern will produce more often than a bad one, but it’s no turkey shoot. And chasing fantasy patterns seems to be even more frustrating than chasing fantasy snowstorms.
 
superjames1992 said:
Yeah, that’s why I don’t get too caught up in chasing patterns. Good patterns don’t always produce and bad patterns sometimes produce. Obviously, a good pattern will produce more often than a bad one, but it’s no turkey shoot. And chasing fantasy patterns seems to be even more frustrating than chasing fantasy snowstorms.
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I would say they are tenfold more frustrating even for someone who knows how to use the ensembles (hint: not looking at 300 hour output).
 
As of today I have visited every state park/natural area / forest that is within 60 miles of my house . The last one was Occoneechee and wow was I surprised ! Did not expect the steep cliff and beautiful view from the top that gave a view of miles ! Occooneeche mountain is what’s left of and old ancient mountain . The overlook area is very much mountainous all it’s missing is another 2k in elevation perhaps ! I of course plan on coming back and ignoring the signs saying I’ll die and finding a way to both climb down and up ! Place is 1 hour from my house but 30 minutes from Raleigh . The triangle is definitely the best metro in the 85 corridor we can all agree .

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Lickwx said:
As of today I have visited every state park/natural area / forest that is within 60 miles of my house . The last one was Occoneechee and wow was I surprised ! Did not expect the steep cliff and beautiful view from the top that gave a view of miles ! Occooneeche mountain is what’s left of and old ancient mountain . The overlook area is very much mountainous all it’s missing is another 2k in elevation perhaps ! I of course plan on coming back and ignoring the signs saying I’ll die and finding a way to both climb down and up ! Place is 1 hour from my house but 30 minutes from Raleigh . The triangle is definitely the best metro in the 85 corridor we can all agree .

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You can climb up the rock face from the quarry there! It’s pretty fun!! I suppose it’s probably technically forbidden, though, haha.
 
Lickwx said:
Hmmmm how do I get into said quarry, just park at the state park and cross the Eno mountain road to the quarry?
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It’s the remains of the old quarry. It’s near the trail that goes around the mountain there, and you can climb up pretty close to where the overlook over the cliff of the mountain is. I don’t know if I explained they well, LOL.
 
superjames1992 said:
It’s the remains of the old quarry. It’s near the trail that goes around the mountain there, and you can climb up pretty close to where the overlook over the cliff of the mountain is. I don’t know if I explained they well, LOL.
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Ohhh I thought you meant the active quarry nearby lol! Yeah no imma climb down the side next time .
 
Lickwx said:
Ohhh I thought you meant the active quarry nearby lol! Yeah no imma climb down the side next time .
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Haha, nope, not that!

www.enoriver.org

December - Occoneechee Quarry - Eno River Association - Education, Advocacy & Conservation

Latitude 36º 3′ 52.67″ N/ /Longitude 78º 7′ 5.04″ W How to get there: DRIVING DIRECTIONS to Occoneechee Quarry from I-85: take Exit 164 and head north toward Hillsborough on Churton Street (Old NC 86). If you are exiting from I-85 north, then you will pass under the interstate on Churton St. In...
www.enoriver.org www.enoriver.org
 
Dewpoint Dan said:
The 99-00 winter wasn't so bad.
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That’s an interesting winter, though, because outside of a 1-2 week window of glory in late January 2000 (four wintry events in something like 12 days, including the famed Carolina Crusher), it was a pretty irredeemably terrible winter. Just goes to show one storm/one wintry period can make or break a winter around here.
 
Not a single EPS member on the 12z has snow for my area over the next 15 days. GEFS looked like ? as well. Can’t wait to break out the golf clubs soon
 
If I had my choice of a storm it would be a February 2014 redux with a legendary CAD that reached eastern Alabama and @GaWx house down in Savannah. I'll take about 4" inches of front end snow and sleet followed by .33" freezing rain.
 
RainlessSnowless & Grumpy said:
The GEFS is basically the GFS ran in lower resolution 20 different times to get a smoothed average.
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Additionally, the preliminary conditions are tweaked with each different member to get the different member results.
 
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