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Misc 2019 Banter & Friendly Conservation

I know it's been said already but after 7 days of miserable rain and water intrusion in the basement, what a F'n beautiful day it is! Even with the wind gusts and branches falling in the yard.
 
12Z Euro trying to serve up the second heartbreaker of the winter for the SE of RDU crowd. If the mountains get another foot plus of snow while I get another cold rain I might break something.
 
Jimmy, the big ones coming! Better get 7 gallons of milk and 6 breads!!9E868295-0AC7-4AAD-8177-09452C2AEFF6.png
 
The past six years in Atlanta I have literally seen winter get shorter. February used to be considerably colder and we didn’t get pollen this high until late March or early April.


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ATLwxfan said:
The past six years in Atlanta I have literally seen winter get shorter. February used to be considerably colder and we didn’t get pollen this high until late March or early April.


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It's not 6 years, it just feels like that because 2016-2019 have been incredibly warm Februaries, especially the last three now. 2015 might have been disappointing for a lot of people on actual winter weather, but for like the last half of it, it was ridiculously cold.

(or maybe '14 and '15 were the outliers in the trend, if it was not that long ago, it isn't impossible)
 
GaWx said:
Per my memory for March per the 12z GFS/Euro combo;

1. It has the most threatening maps for a widespread major snow/sleet for the well inland SE since the actual last widespread of 2009 from that bowling ball.
2. For the deep SE, even though that first wave is still a near miss, I can't recall a nearer miss in over 20 years.

We really haven't seen much in the way of big SE March threats outside of Greensboro and other nearby parts of NC in 10 years.
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Now, if only it were 4 years ago, maybe we'd have more people believing, but of late we've mostly been head faked by all models, and again I don't just mean the FV3 as I've seen the Euro take at least three L's this winter alone...although again maybe if I could completely separate from looking at the surface maps, it wouldn't look as bad as that.
 
With how this winter has went with every failing fantasy snowstorm that shows up every 7 to 10 days or more out.. I'm staying negative we been kicking the can all year each and every time... Y'all can say what y'all want about me but until I see snow falling and it's an actual storm than I'll be all in....carry on
 
Ilovesnow28 said:
With how this winter has went with every failing fantasy snowstorm that shows up every 7 to 10 days or more out.. I'm staying negative we been kicking the can all year each and every time... Y'all can say what y'all want about me but until I see snow falling and it's an actual storm than I'll be all in....carry on
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But, maybe shortening H5 wavelength climo means we finally break the nonsense come early March? I think @Webberweather53 sort of alluded to this. Come early march or really even about now tbh, it becomes a whole different ballgame due to this factor I think.
 
GaWx said:
But, maybe shortening H5 wavelength climo means we finally break the nonsense come early March? I think @Webberweather53 sort of alluded to this. Come early march or really even about now tbh, it becomes a whole different ballgame due to this factor I think.
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We desperately need this to come to fruition because if this doesn't stay consistent like the others haven't then game over... And I said back in December before winter started that the key to this winter in general was consistency... This winter in terms of winter weather has been atrocious concerning consistency besides the warmth... I'm not saying by any means things can't change but our window of opportunity is still at a minimum concerning our chances with winter weather threats
 
Storm5 said:
Anyone’s foot hurt ?? We’ve been kicking cans for the last ten weeks


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I quit kicking, when I said I was out.... I'm out. It's like the day I gave up FB it really is freeing

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Tarheel1 said:
You better get 6 milks and 5 loaves of bread! The models say a blockbuster 9/10 day snow is on the way, and our cold is coming over the mountains!! Let me know how that works out! Atleast it’ll be light until 8 pm , so we have longer to watch the rain!☃️☃️
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Cold over the mountains has worked for me before, its working for me now, just dropped 2 degrees in the past hour ?
 
GaWx said:
But, maybe shortening H5 wavelength climo means we finally break the nonsense come early March? I think @Webberweather53 sort of alluded to this. Come early march or really even about now tbh, it becomes a whole different ballgame due to this factor I think.
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We look poised to break this in early March only to have what's liable to be a potentially event more valiant return later in the month when tropical forcing begins to encroach on the Maritime Continent. Late March looks warm or very warm atm.
 
Webberweather53 said:
We look poised to break this in early March only to have what's liable to be a potentially event more valiant return later in the month when tropical forcing begins to encroach on the Maritime Continent. Late March looks warm or very warm atm.
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So probably gonna be more severe weather late March than last couple of years since warmth is a piece of the puzzle to instability ?
 
CyclonicFury said:
If we get a winter storm in March, I'm sure this is how it will be. If you live east of US-1 in NC, you're probably screwed. Don't underestiamte that pesky Wake County gradient!
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I agree.... it's why I'm not even the least bit excited about the March potential.
 
10 year anniversary almost of the March 1/2 2009 storm that brought snow to many in the southeast! Had severe weather on February 28 across the southeast as well. We got severe weather this week then possible snow. Repeat??
 
Snowflowxxl said:
I’m BIG mad! Don’t even care about the fact that we will not be getting snow, as I punted winter on January 29th. I’m just mad at this excuse for what we call weather models. This is the best we can do?! They were better 5 years ago!!!
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make models great again!

oh but when they show record heat they're never wrong :p
 
Y’all here about the epidemic of deer effected by CWD ? Some are worried about it being transmitted to humans but there’s no known case of that happening
 
CyclonicFury said:
If we get a winter storm in March, I'm sure this is how it will be. If you live east of US-1 in NC, you're probably screwed. Don't underestimate that pesky Wake County gradient!
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I would gladly take it here in Charlotte, nice way to get revenge on RDU after getting screwed over in early Dec.
 
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