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Misc 2019 Banter & Friendly Conservation

4 days of mid 70s for us all on fv3 next week....

Ground temps will be ROASTING. It would take a monster ice or even snow storm after that to accumulate anything.
Rates overcome ground temps, all day, everyday! We get our best snows after a week or two in the 70s
 
So if we finish winter as a whole at +5, JB will have busted by 10 degrees seasonally?? That’s horrible! If you just go 0 to +5, every winter in the South, you’d look like a genius the last 7,8,10 years! Make it stop!!
 
Just for levity and perhaps to bring a chuckle ...


Art Collector

A New York Attorney representing a wealthy art collector phoned and asked to speak to his client, "Saul, I have some good news and I have some bad news."

The art collector replied, "I've had an awful day, let me hear the good news first."

The Attorney said, "Well, I met with your wife today and she informed me that she invested $5,000 in two pictures which she thinks will bring a minimum of $15-20 million. I think she could be right."

Saul replied enthusiastically, "Well done! My wife is a brilliant businesswoman! You've just made my day. Now I know I can handle the bad news. What is it?"

The Attorney replied, "The pictures are of you and your secretary."
 
JB's winter forecasts are to the point of being nothing but window dressing
I wish they would just focus on one week at a time and just stop forecasting beyond that. Theres obviously very little to no skill in anything beyond that.
 
I pray to God that nobody brings up winter forecasts next year. I mean they are completely pointless.
If you forecast the coldest anomalies over the northern plains and the warmest in the southeast, you’re more than likely going to at least have the general placement correct. Then, it becomes just a matter of magnitude, which should always be above normal in the SE. Anything else is complete nonsense.

It’s become quite obvious that you can be really smart and issue whatever kind of winter forecast you want, based on research, knowledge, experience, intuition, magic 8 ball, oijua board, or terot cards, but you can’t outthink the persistence of the pattern. The bottom line is, it’s going to be warm and you’re going to be wrong if you predict otherwise.
 
I’m still waiting on the backloaded winter since everything up to now has failed .


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
I have now conceded. Sometimes there is simply nothing you can do but to just bend over and take it, here it comes. This is one of those moments.
 
Hard to be believe we torch with this...but we will.

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The European is the only major model showing a rapid move out of the loop and into 7 and eventually 8. It is literally our only hope to salvage winter. All other models go way back and stall in 6 and/or 7 before moving on or into the COD. If they are right, it’s pretty much game over. If the Euro is right, then what I said the other day about winter coming in strong around the 15th will pan out. I believe it will. And if you have to have a model on your side, it’s good that it’s the Euro. But it is making me nervous!
 
You could be a complete ignoramous to weather and still throw out a winter forecast for the South that would be decent
“We’ll be looking at slightly below temps with a lot of rain this El Niño season. Look for periodic f cold spells with occasional flurry activity followed by warm temps.” There JB I got your next El Niño forecast. I take PayPal
 
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