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Misc 2019 Banter & Friendly Conservation

ATLwxfan said:
The negative energy in the January thread, even with a promising op run is really pathetic to tell you the truth.


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Yeah I don’t understand it. I’ve only lived in the south since 2006 so my first winter here was in 2007. I was definitely one to freak out easily the first 5-6 years when I didn’t see snow by early January. But by years 8-9 I completely understood that most winters I wasn’t seeing accumulating snow until mid and most likely late January. It sucks but I’ve come to know it’s reality so I don’t get to excited unless something shows up on the models within 5 days. I’m sure most everyone has lived in the south longer then me so I don’t understand why it seems to get worse each year with the freaking out starting in late November. The cold temps that are coming are during our prime climo for snow and basically anytime from this Sunday until early March a storm could pop within the 5 day period on the models. I have only seen 4 January’s that produced accumulating snows out of 12 So that’s like 33% if I did my math right. That means that almost 70% of my winters did not produce accumulating snows until February or later. There’s no reason to panic for the first 2-3 months of winter every year when you weren’t really supposed to get snow anyways. I’ll say it again in that expectations are way to high from some considering we live in the south.

Edit: I should have clarified that by accumulating I meant an inch or more of snow. Plenty of dustings in January of .50 - .75 inches over the years but not many with big snows.
 
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I've never seen Joe bastardi this pumped up about his winter forecast after his Twitter post of the 18z GFS post yesterday... So who should I trust James spann or Joe bastardi?
 
Ilovesnow28 said:
I've never seen Joe bastardi this pumped up about his winter forecast after his Twitter post of the 18z GFS post yesterday... So who should I trust James spann or Joe bastardi?
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Like most of the battles between the gfs and euro go for a combination middle ground of the two.
 
Honestly something has been on the models on January 26th for the last few runs of the GFS, now that the cat is out of the bag, I kinda think the energy for that period will change to something completely different at 0z.

Hope not, hopefully it stays! I'd love a flashback type storm.
 
This is the next step in weather modeling in my opinion. Hopefully it can gain some traction, Panasonic dumped it.

http://flyht.com/flyht-gains-contract-for-additional-100-airasia-aircraft/

"Additionally, the system provides fully-integrated data communications for the aircraft’s ACARS (aircraft communications addressing and reporting system) and operational weather modeling needs. "
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
The same ones #SNOMG’ing over operational runs in the main thread are the same ones that get mad when everyone freaks out when it shows heat and rain. Funny how that works out
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Preach!!!
 
When ATL had snowjam 14, temps in low 20s, we were like 45 and rained! I’d rather take a chance on a clipper
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
It’s coming don’t doubt it. We always leave it up to a clipper with solid 850’s and 40 degrees at the surface to salvage our winter
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We may get a flurry, but it won’t be from a cold front between cool shots!
 
I love how my message accusing Jon of being snarky gets deleted but his message with its rude tone doesn't get deleted. You can tell who the favorites are on this forum.
 
Yeah and then the southern slider potential web talked about, I just don’t see a lot of the south, especially the Carolinas whiffing, would be cool to get a southern slider with a 1040+ high to the north that moves the same speed then sets up shop at around PA/NY then just sits there then we could get areas east of the apps some good snows once that thing starts to amp off the coast
 
Well, that period did have something on the models last week. We have seen the models do that before, show something in the really long range, then lose it, and then start showing it again. Maybe that is what is happening again.
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
Yeah and then the southern slider potential web talked about, I just don’t see a lot of the south, especially the Carolinas whiffing, would be cool to get a southern slider with a 1040+ high to the north that moves the same speed then sets up shop at around PA/NY then just sits there then we could get areas east of the apps some good snows once that thing starts to amp off the coast
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Would love to somehow get a big block and for another low to stall not far off the coast like what 1973 was for me...okay realistically (but being homer-ish with my location) I'd either like to see 2 inches of snow going into some deep cold for a day or two or a wet snowstorm that does something like this:wetsnowismesmerizing.jpg
 
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