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Misc 2019 Banter & Friendly Conservation

Praying that either the 23rd-25th is golden or the storm on the 20th trends better. It seems a bit greedy and gambling a bit but I'm not going to pull the trigger on going up to family unless the storm gets to where it's a 4"+ type snow, and I won't at all if the 23rd-25th becomes golden for me.
 
DarkKnight said:
Isn’t what this pattern change is all about??? All the signs are there.
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I hope that’s what the pattern change is all about. The first portion of it, for the storm(s) the week of the 20th, is the familiar pattern that has shown up from time to time over the last several years. It leads to Miller Bs and slop or ice, especially over the eastern SE. places like TN, northern MS/AL/GA and upstate SC into western NC and much of VA should be licking their chops once again. For much of middle GA, most of SC and the eastern half of NC, it’s not a snow pattern. The trough is too far west and/or the PV is too far north. It may not look like it in the LR model progs, but it will be when time gets here. We need something to press the PV south and east, which will suppress the storm track.

I am not impressed with a close call at 200+ hours out with no blocking. If it’s not already through middle FL at this lead, that’s a bad sign to me. Good blocking, different story altogether.

I’m not at all saying that the coming cold won’t be impressive between storms. It probably will. I’m also not at all saying there is no chance of a board-wife snowstorm. There is, but the eye of the needle will be small until we get a mechanism to press the PV south and east and hold it there for a little while. If/when that happens, it will greatly widen the eye.

Until such a time, if the coming cold is real, and it looks to be, then we will have winter storm threats to track. But the odds favor mixing for many. Not complaining at all, as mixy is better than the warmth we have gone through. Just hoping for a better pattern to eventually set in, as we continue to evolve through winter.

It’s been a long time since I’ve seen a snow event worth mentioning. I’m optimistic about the chances this winter. Just wanting to see signs of it coming.
 
Even Glen Burns is already talking about next weekend in Atlanta.
 

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Rain Cold said:
I hope that’s what the pattern change is all about. The first portion of it, for the storm(s) the week of the 20th, is the familiar pattern that has shown up from time to time over the last several years. It leads to Miller Bs and slop or ice, especially over the eastern SE. places like TN, northern MS/AL/GA and upstate SC into western NC and much of VA should be licking their chops once again. For much of middle GA, most of SC and the eastern half of NC, it’s not a snow pattern. The trough is too far west and/or the PV is too far north. It may not look like it in the LR model progs, but it will be when time gets here. We need something to press the PV south and east, which will suppress the storm track.

I am not impressed with a close call at 200+ hours out with no blocking. If it’s not already through middle FL at this lead, that’s a bad sign to me. Good blocking, different story altogether.

I’m not at all saying that the coming cold won’t be impressive between storms. It probably will. I’m also not at all saying there is no chance of a board-wife snowstorm. There is, but the eye of the needle will be small until we get a mechanism to press the PV south and east and hold it there for a little while. If/when that happens, it will greatly widen the eye.

Until such a time, if the coming cold is real, and it looks to be, then we will have winter storm threats to track. But the odds favor mixing for many. Not complaining at all, as mixy is better than the warmth we have gone through. Just hoping for a better pattern to eventually set in, as we continue to evolve through winter.

It’s been a long time since I’ve seen a snow event worth mentioning. I’m optimistic about the chances this winter. Just wanting to see signs of it coming.
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I completely agree. I'm a little more hopeful that this pattern will produce based on the nice cold nature of it, and it's longevity... but you're right, we're going to have to get lucky on timing. The ensembles aren't pushing storms south, they're way too north, and that's because everything up top is too far north already. We'll see.
 
Tarheel1 said:
Ours is coming next weekend
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If you’re into flash freezing mud puddles then yes. No chance cold air makes it over the mountain in time for us to see snow with that exact setup. I don’t care if -30’s are pushing through Knoxville headed this way. It would never in a million years make it in time ☃️?
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
If you’re into flash freezing mud puddles then yes. No chance cold air makes it over the mountain in time for us to see snow with that exact setup. I don’t care if -30’s are pushing through Knoxville headed this way. It would never in a million years make it in time ☃️?
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Pull for the wedge in your area
 
One year ago today our first of two 3inch plus snowstorms within a 5 day period started. It started as freezing rain FridayAM then flipped to snow around 4:30pm. Hopefully we all see this soon!!

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LMFAO! This is GSPs thoughts on next weekends pants tent, pattern change blockbuster!! All I see is above normal temps and hydro concerns even in the mountains on Saturday! So much for the apocalypse snowstorm! 9DDC644C-9643-4C1D-87F4-4AD9987FA6BC.png
 
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