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Misc 2019 Banter & Friendly Conservation

While so many are chasing unicorns...Here’s another one to go after
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Does Spann know it’s snowing in AL?? Somebody should tell him! ;)
 
I can’t wait for all the model runs today!? Gotta keep my eye on that 30th cold front snow! Gives me that Jan 88 vibe! :(
 
I don’t know what’s worse, weather.com forecast or accuweathers, I remember when I was young I got excited over snow they were showing 27 days out... makes me sick
AccuWeathers snow probability feature sucks. I went to Gatlinburg in December and it showed over 50% chance of 3-6 inches. Three inches is probably how deep the puddles were. This past Sunday it showed me a 62% chance of 1-2 inches and I didn't see a single flake.
 
AccuWeathers snow probability feature sucks. I went to Gatlinburg in December and it showed over 50% chance of 3-6 inches. Three inches is probably how deep the puddles were. This past Sunday it showed me a 62% chance of 1-2 inches and I didn't see a single flake.

JB worked at NOTAccuweather. That says it all.


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On pins and needles for the 12z runs! The non event coastal and the cold front snow event! C’mon icon, don’t let me down!
 
I think the mjo, tropical pacific convection is the fly in the ointment this winter. GEFS continues to keep the pulse strong and high amplitude in phase 7 till halfway through February. Probably why we're not seeing a nice strong western ridge where we need it. Higher heights building over the pole as time goes on, but the pacific is screwing everything up. Euro wants to kill it in the COD, but we've seen that before. My bet is this things spends most of February in the warm phases.

Lol, nice to see we had a whole week in the cold phases this winter! haha.

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I think the mjo, tropical pacific convection is the fly in the ointment this winter. GEFS continues to keep the pulse strong and high amplitude in phase 7 till halfway through February. Probably why we're not seeing a nice strong western ridge where we need it. Higher heights building over the pole as time goes on, but the pacific is screwing everything up. Euro wants to kill it in the COD, but we've seen that before. My bet is this things spends most of February in the warm phases.

Lol, nice to see we had a whole week in the cold phases this winter! haha.

View attachment 12940

Phase 7 MJO in February during an El Nino is not warm for the SE US even for events well outside the COD.
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