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Misc 2017 Banter/venting thread

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we finally made it lmao

Indeed, because of some of us (me included) talking about a storm being consistent in the long range of the GFS it seems like we've been talking about Christmas for a month.

About to head out so I won't be here for a while but I'll try to catch up when I arrive in the discussion threads...

Merry Christmas Eve.
 
And here comes the weenie panic about the system on the 27th "ruining" the storm lol
It doesn't take much to ruin an event around here! Panic is always millimeters below the surface giddyness! :(
 
I'm watching TWC, they're showing the NFL forecasts and I just saw the win-loss record for the Cleveland Browns. Oh my god XD
 
I'm watching TWC, they're showing the NFL forecasts and I just saw the win-loss record for the Cleveland Browns. Oh my god XD

That team and it's management is a dumpster fire. You'd think they would get smarter after all these years.
 
For those interested; here is KCAE's thoughts recently:

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Columbia SC
619 AM EST Sun Dec 24 2017

There is reasonable confidence that a broad mean trough will be
over much of the eastern part of the country during this period
but uncertainty exists regarding shortwave energy moving
through the trough. Thermal trends in the models continue to be
colder with a cold air damming wedge likely developing on
Thursday as polar arctic air filters into the area from a 1042mb
high over southeast Canada and New England. This will set the
stage for potential wintry weather across parts of the forecast
area with highest confidence along and north of the I-20
corridor Thursday night into Friday.

The GFS has struggled with run to run consistency and the 00z
run shows shortwave energy moving through the mean flow bringing
precipitation Thurs and Thursday night but quickly shifts east
early Friday with rising 500mb heights. The ECWMF on the other
hand is a bit deeper with a digging upper trough keeping
moisture transport over the area longer and developing a much
deeper low off the coast.

Lowered temperatures Wednesday night through Friday across the
board with the expectation that a strong CAD regime will
develop. Hopefully we will see some convergence among the models
regarding precipitation late in the week as well as thermal
profiles to increase confidence in the forecast.
 
Damn, I really thought I was going to get 4 winter events within 10 days! I'm shocked and awed! ;)
 
I will never understand why people think ZR is a good thing in large amounts. Sure, it looks nice at 0.25 and less.

It's like they don't understand what happens to their trees, power lines, and all the food in their freezer after days without power. It's really not fun, and gets old quickly.
 
Yesterday's 12z GFS had the right idea. Winter precip is over until 2019 for most of the southeast.
 
snow-04.jpg
 
I will never understand why people think ZR is a good thing in large amounts. Sure, it looks nice at 0.25 and less.

It's like they don't understand what happens to their trees, power lines, and all the food in their freezer after days without power. It's really not fun, and gets old quickly.
I agree. .1 to .2 is nice to look at with glaze but getting up to .25 or more (ice storm warning range) isn't. CMC was nice giving me 2-3 inches sn/ip, but unfortunately it's the only model with that idea. Not going to lie though I am a bit concerned in regards to possibility of major zr around these parts and sure back up your way. Even euro being dryer it's .2-.3 zr across Atl Metro and .3-.4 around your area is concerning. Not as bad as earlier runs and CMC zr runs, but that amount can still cause a lot of issues...not as bad as 1"+ ZR I guess. Here's to hoping 925s came cool and get more IP than ZR, or the GGEM is correct.
 
Has the DWD model ran yet, also is there a free site for it that covers this time frame?
 
Looks like we went from 3 for 3, to 0 for 3 , in about 24 hours! :(
 
Panthers look horrible today, almost as if they expected Tampa to just roll over..... they lose to the Bucs they don't deserve to get in the playoffs!
 
What the hell are you talking about?
Don't get your panties all bunched up! Do you see a 2nd and 3rd storm on the Euro?? Oh yeah, you can't read models! But they weren't there, and enjoy your flurries on Thursday! :(
 
Right now there's about 15% chance of the upstate seeing snow, about a 95% chance of Clemson winning! Roll Tide!!
 
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