HRRR has busted horribly on overnight lows here lately in NC, it was off by several degrees just last night and only pushed RDU into the mid 20s, we reached 17...
I'm already 37 (forecast low of 36) clear skies and dp of 16. hmmmm
I'm down to 35 now dropped 2 degrees last hour. I don't want zr anyway so I'm good with staying above freezing!!There are pockets of 34 as of an hour ago here in Lexington's area. The southwesterly flow should start to bring these up quickly before precipitation gets going, but who knows.
Just noticed we were upgraded to a winter weather advisory here. Not a good sign to come if the NWS is expecting more areas to receive ice. Only expecting up to a tenth of an inch per advisory here.
I'm sitting at 33 dp 18 thick clouds rolling inHere around CAE, looks like the majorty of higher resolution modeling has us right around 35F+ as the precipitation moves in and we eventually make it into the 50's tomorrow. Surely these models aren't going to bust for us. That'd be quite a problem, and we will see come 7AM or so, if moisture starts to stream out ahead. In situations like these, little "fingers" of moisture are possible that modeling does not pick up on.
This looks like a fun sleet storm. Either that or there's going to be a ton of ice accretion.
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