Wintry 2/11-2/12 ULL Magic or More Cold Rain

[Shaggy]

GFS from a couple of days ago…it’s dead to me

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Models have been garbage this year

 

[deltadog03]

Depends on where you're at, In FL I guess it would be a Fail. But NE GA, Parts of Upstate SC, and WNC is Definitely still Game

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oh, I know not here...lol I am talking about the SE as a whole. Yes, the higher terrain will do ok. NE GA, E TN and W NC *mtns mainly*

 

[Fountainguy97]

The fv3 came in similar to euro. Much better.

 

[accu35]

 

[Itryatgolf]

View attachment 132984

You got you a Virginia ne tennessee snow chase

 

[ATLwxfan]

It’s been so dadgum warm and now we are going to depend on a precarious “cold core” low with rate driven dynamic cooling. This is a recipe for failure.


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[superjames1992]

Last 4 0z/12z runs of the NAM. ?‍

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It’s not even just us, Illinois and New York have lost almost all their snow, too. ?

 

[iGRXY]

Depends on where you're at, In FL I guess it would be a Fail. But NE GA, Parts of Upstate SC, and WNC is Definitely still Game

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Outside over extreme peaks over 3500-4000 ft more than likely everybody else ends in nothing. The upper low is not taking an adequate track and is not getting the dynamic cooling needed to drive snow below at most 2000ft. Don’t expect anything from this and be happy if you see flakes.

 

[Snownut]

Outside over extreme peaks over 3500-4000 ft more than likely everybody else ends in nothing. The upper low is not taking an adequate track and is not getting the dynamic cooling needed to drive snow below at most 2000ft. Don’t expect anything from this and be happy if you see flakes.

Man you Sure have Changed your mind it's comical LOL

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[PARSONBROWN]

Is this an upper level low?

 

[Stevo24]

Is this an upper level low?

It’s an upper lever suck.

 

[Itryatgolf]

Nam, and rgem did well with our ice/sleet storm last week. We are winning again ?

 

[PARSONBROWN]

It’s an upper lever suck.

Thank you for your response

 

[SD]

Is this an upper level low?

Yes

 

[accu35]

0z gfs looks better this run for the WNC mountains .

 

[BIG FROSTY]

0z GFS

 

[iGRXY]

Man you Sure have Changed your mind it's comical LOL

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Well there’s nothing to see with this to think anybody outside of the mountains will get anything. That’s not comical, that’s being real about the situation. Wish cast all you want, it’s not going to change the fact that there’s not a model other than the long range RAP even showing snow showers in the upstate. Its wraps.

 

[Snownut]

Well there’s nothing to see with this to think anybody outside of the mountains will get anything. That’s not comical, that’s being real about the situation. Wish cast all you want, it’s not going to change the fact that there’s not a model other than the long range RAP even showing snow showers in the upstate. Its wraps.

LMAO

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[crecre9]

Well there’s nothing to see with this to think anybody outside of the mountains will get anything. That’s not comical, that’s being real about the situation. Wish cast all you want, it’s not going to change the fact that there’s not a model other than the long range RAP even showing snow showers in the upstate. Its wraps.

There has been pretty consistent modeling showing snow falling in N AL and GA. At least from ECMWF and HRRR.

 

[Nomanslandva]

I think there may be a few surprises, but I think there will be more heartbreaks. Even looking at the snow maps that are good, I think they have issues that are between the numbers. I am cheap and dont get euro soundings and kuchero maps, but what I can see for free, things are not great out there.