Wintry 2/11-2/12 ULL Magic or More Cold Rain

[Ron Burgundy]

Got this notification alert not too long ago. Safe bet to cover all bases just in case…

Same. I’m sure most people who got it were like…wut?

 

[Thor]

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

I’ve got rain/sn in the grid for Sunday morning. Let’s go

 

[rburrel2]

Not horrible.

 

[Rainforrest]

Winter storm watch up for the mountains.

 

[Tarheel1]

Nam is trying to suck me inView attachment 132914View attachment 132915

NAM has been really, really good on thermals this winter, especially 850s!

 

[Parker]

18z HRRR radar loop and temp loop from 6 PM Saturday to 6 AM Sunday. You couldn’t ask for better timing for us here in Alabama and we still are too warm. Just not meant to be on this one but it definitely sucks to not have the temps work out with that radar look on an ULL rolling through at night.

 

[severestorm]

18z NAM's even more cutoff. Trends are clear today.

 

[Tarheel1]

Nam is trying to suck me inView attachment 132914View attachment 132915

NAM from 2 days out VS radar day of

 

[BIG FROSTY]

What a dry slot on the 18z NAM. #fugly

 

[rburrel2]

Starting to look like somewhere in middle TN is going to jackpot under the deform band and overcome the warm surface layer.

 

[LukeBarrette]

Not horrible.View attachment 132937

A lot of that is sleet

 

[Tarheel1]

Icon looking ok! Look at the 850s over upstate

 

[iGRXY]

This is dead. I think even the mountains might max out around 6" max on the highest peaks. Consider it lucky if we get flakes flying anywhere below 1500'. ULL trend of further in Texas cooked this on the last leg of the race.

 

[olhausen]

View attachment 132940View attachment 132939

18z HRRR radar loop and temp loop from 6 PM Saturday to 6 AM Sunday. You couldn’t ask for better timing for us here in Alabama and we still are too warm. Just not meant to be on this one but it definitely sucks to not have the temps work out with that radar look on an ULL rolling through at night.

Man if this was just another 25 miles to the west I’d be in that deform band.

 

[bouncycorn]

Oddly enough, MMFS is sticking to it's guns. I'm not really buying this solution but will share it FWIW.

 

[rburrel2]

Oddly enough, MMFS is sticking to it's guns. I'm not really buying this solution but will share it FWIW.

It must look like the RAP and Hrrr with the comma head action Sunday morning.

 

[rburrel2]

Man if this was just another 25 miles to the west I’d be in that deform band.

I wouldn't count yourself out yet. It might wind up there.

 

[MichaelJ]

I wouldn't count yourself out yet. It might wind up there.

"He's dead Jim"

For those interested, the European 45 day for 2/12 to 3/27 show the SE being below normal with above normal precip.

 

[Tarheel1]

Icon looking ok! Look at the 850s over upstate View attachment 132948

GFS in lockstep! Rooting for y’all!