Wintry 2/11-2/12 ULL Magic or More Cold Rain

[lexxnchloe]

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Difference between the 12km and 3km NAM

Would be awesome to see in a such a warm winter that these areas get a big snow. What is the Atlanta record for Feb snows?

 

[J.C.]

There is a max area of snowfall showing up now on almost all models. It is between Buchanan, Cedartown, Rockmart and Dallas, GA. NAM shows them switching over to snow earlier than other areas, around 10 pm Saturday. If that holds, they could see 5" to 6" maybe more. It's where the elevation jumps up a bit (over 1,000 ft and probably 1,100 to 1,200 on ridges). I'm at 850 so if it switches here, it's probably going to be one of the last spots in my area. I'll enjoy my digital hypothetical NAM'ing for a few more minutes!

There is a lot of truth to this, and I've seen it so many times.

 

[Snow_chaser]

There is a lot of truth to this, and I've seen it so many times.

View attachment 132860

Yes, a few years ago when this area of western Georgia got a foot of snow in that first week of December. I’m sure a totally different setup, but they weren’t calling for anything like that. Plus we’ve been known to get a decent snow or ice event on Super Bowl weekend lol

 

[Drizzle Snizzle]

Yes, a few years ago when this area of western Georgia got a foot of snow in that first week of December. I’m sure a totally different setup, but they weren’t calling for anything like that. Plus we’ve been known to get a decent snow or ice event on Super Bowl weekend lol

Very true. I think they were saying like an inch or two and then some areas got over 10". Seems like many of the best snows in GA kind of came as a surprise.

 

[griteater]

00z GFS

 

[griteater]

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Not mad at it, overall slightly better run the 18z, with slightly more snow east of the mountains

 

[griteater]

850mb Low and Temperatures on the GFS

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Not mad at it, overall slightly better run the 18z, with slightly more snow east of the mountains View attachment 132862View attachment 132863View attachment 132864

This would continue charlottes record of having measurable snow every year since records have been kept. I’m here for it. I’ll also be in Winston Salem and I’ll support this upper level low snow chase

 

[ATLwxfan]

Dang. Bullseye ~50 hours out. Feels…weird.

Squinting for flakes in the cold rain for many of us. Feast or famine.


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[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Impressive run for GA

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Areas in ETN went from nothing to over a foot in one run rotfl

 

[accu35]

Not mad at it, overall slightly better run the 18z, with slightly more snow east of the mountains View attachment 132862View attachment 132863View attachment 132864

Maggie Valley should do good with that look

 

[Showmeyourtds]

Erh my gentle Jesus...feast or famine along Moreland Avenue thru the ATL

 

[SnowQueen]

This would continue charlottes record of having measurable snow every year since records have been kept. I’m here for it. I’ll also be in Winston Salem and I’ll support this upper level low snow chase

Think I may chase this one a little. I'm willing to put my dog Ellie in the car and drive 30-40 miles for 6" if it doesn't set up nicely imby...

 

[SimeonNC]

I know ensembles don't matter at this point but the GEFS is pretty good for the 77 corridor westward.

 

[severestorm]

Brad's forecast map

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Brad's forecast map

What a ---- head.

Here’s a map

 

[LukeBarrette]

Old mean

New mean
Perhaps increased confidence in heavy snow making it into SW VA

 

[bouncycorn]

MMFS is coming in now.. already getting decent snow in the mountains by 2z! Shaping up to be a nice run.

 

[ATLwxfan]

View attachment 132867
Old mean
View attachment 132868
New mean
Perhaps increased confidence in heavy snow making it into SW VA

I know we should be looking at mesoscale models right now but somehow the GEFS feels right.


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