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Wintry 2/11-2/12 ULL Magic or More Cold Rain

Long term AFD from FFC posted at 3pm. Pretty much verbatim what has been said around here. Not dismissing it but not super bullish at this point...

The focus will then turn to any wintry weather potential Saturday
night into Sunday morning courtesy of the aforementioned upper low.
There remains significant uncertainty (and significant uncertainty
will likely remain through the next 24-36 hours) regarding the
potential for snow for parts of the area given the complex nature of
this setup. For the time being, the most likely location for any
accumulating snow continues to be across the higher elevations of
north Georgia, where light accumulations are currently favored.
Elsewhere across north Georgia, there will certainly be the
possibility for a rain/snow mix or even a transition to all snow for
a period of time during the early morning hours Sunday. However, the
risk for any accumulating snow in these areas will depend on the
alignment of several factors. First off, temperatures will be very
marginal with air temperatures remaining largely in the mid-30s,
though the melting precip falling into this airmass will likely
serve to cool temperatures a bit more. Secondly, ground temperatures
should be on the warmer side given antecedent warm conditions. Thus,
while snow could fall, much would melt as it hits the surface. With
that said, some potential for at least transiently accumulating snow
on some elevated/grassy surfaces could occur within heavier snow
bursts, even in temperatures slightly above freezing, though
significant accumulations on roads would be unlikely. All this is to
say, at this point, the forecast will continue to indicate a
potential rain/snow mix in much of north Georgia south of the
mountains Sunday morning with substantial uncertainty remaining
regarding precip type and locations for accumulating snow. Stay
tuned...
 
Ron Burgundy said:
Long term AFD from FFC posted at 3pm. Pretty much verbatim what has been said around here. Not dismissing it but not super bullish at this point...

The focus will then turn to any wintry weather potential Saturday
night into Sunday morning courtesy of the aforementioned upper low.
There remains significant uncertainty (and significant uncertainty
will likely remain through the next 24-36 hours) regarding the
potential for snow for parts of the area given the complex nature of
this setup. For the time being, the most likely location for any
accumulating snow continues to be across the higher elevations of
north Georgia, where light accumulations are currently favored.
Elsewhere across north Georgia, there will certainly be the
possibility for a rain/snow mix or even a transition to all snow for
a period of time during the early morning hours Sunday. However, the
risk for any accumulating snow in these areas will depend on the
alignment of several factors. First off, temperatures will be very
marginal with air temperatures remaining largely in the mid-30s,
though the melting precip falling into this airmass will likely
serve to cool temperatures a bit more. Secondly, ground temperatures
should be on the warmer side given antecedent warm conditions. Thus,
while snow could fall, much would melt as it hits the surface. With
that said, some potential for at least transiently accumulating snow
on some elevated/grassy surfaces could occur within heavier snow
bursts, even in temperatures slightly above freezing, though
significant accumulations on roads would be unlikely. All this is to
say, at this point, the forecast will continue to indicate a
potential rain/snow mix in much of north Georgia south of the
mountains Sunday morning with substantial uncertainty remaining
regarding precip type and locations for accumulating snow. Stay
tuned...
Click to expand...
They also bumped it up to 80% from 30% chance of rain/snow here so they are increasing confidence in snowfall but as mentioned accumulation they are unsure of which is expected but they said what I agree with, which is if a big burst hits an area that'll likely change the situation.
 
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Definitely Better
 
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