Was just seeing that, esp further north on the precip. Pulling for RDU to score too
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12/2/2024 - Potential Clipper Action!
- Thread starter packfan98
- Start date
Feel like its gonna be tough to see more than a passing flurry or two up this way and in north central NC with these soundings. not that this is new information. just quite dry
packfan98
Moderator
UKMET bumped up the footprint of snow and follows the trend of inching north.
weather bubba
Member
The dewpoints do look too low for the precipitation to overcome for points from Fayetteville north except for a snowflake or two. I wish the folks in Charlotte and the southwestern Piedmont the best with this event! An inch of snow is possible in those areas and when you have been in a snow drought as long as most of us have I'm sure there will be some happy campers who will be on the receiving end of this event.
packfan98
Moderator
16z RAP-tastic!
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
Inching north/west at game time! Imagine that16z RAP-tastic!
griteater
Member
Gotta say, the fight and heart being shown for a trace to dusting event warms my heart and gives me hope for the next generation. LOLLOL
The new kid on the block, the Euro AI, has been pretty locked in with precip totals shown here on its last 4 runs.
If you put your cursor on the screen on Pivotal, it shows a 0.04 area roughly from just east of Hickory to Rock Hill to Pinehurst to Chapel Hill to Greensboro. It has a small 0.05 area just N and NE of Charlotte
The new kid on the block, the Euro AI, has been pretty locked in with precip totals shown here on its last 4 runs.
If you put your cursor on the screen on Pivotal, it shows a 0.04 area roughly from just east of Hickory to Rock Hill to Pinehurst to Chapel Hill to Greensboro. It has a small 0.05 area just N and NE of Charlotte
Hrrr looks even wetter this run, and has more activity in northern AL/GA
Those banding features closer to the meso low are interesting as well 
NCSNOW
Member
I've seen that Bermuda Run lollipop like the ukmet packfan posted on a cam this morning, same vicinity maybe 30 miles futher south.
SimeonNC
Member
Now I'm legit scared of this trending too far north and screwing us CLT folk over.
Eh I think CLT is fine here. Closer to the meso low and modest amounts of FGEN/WAA aloft (evident by the slight sly wind barbs above Columbia). Looks like that’s what results in the banding features 
Really cool thing to is you can see the meso low off the 0-3km storm relative helicity
map, imagine this in May
Really cool thing to is you can see the meso low off the 0-3km storm relative helicity
map, imagine this in May
Latest run of the NBM did spread the chances of precip out a bit more across NC.
12z NAM3 doing pretty well upstream right now, precip shield is def a bit wider in reality
meanwhile the hrrrrrrr
meanwhile the hrrrrrrr
NCSNOW
Member
Raleigh NWS has a 30% chance Snow Showers here tonight:
They also have a 30% chance of Rain Sat night with a low of 26 coming off a day time high of 41.
They also have a 30% chance of Rain Sat night with a low of 26 coming off a day time high of 41.
Goodness
Avalanche
Member
Look at those bands coming in from out da lakes.
HRRR seemingly locking on to 2 areas that could perform the best, just west/NW of statesville, and N/NE of CLT. Seems like the first hotspot is driven by lee side enhancement/DCVA, and the second is driven more by weak LLVL FGEN/weak WAA/lift from the mesolow 
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
You could be seeing some release of conditional symmetric instability (CSI).
The bands of snow are oriented parallel to the thermal wind/deep-layer thickness contours & the profile looks moist adiabatic in the DGZ below 600mb. Oth, not a ton of WAA in this sounding (as expected for this system).
