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Wintry Winter 26-27

None of us nor any model can accurately predict how much snow/ice we will get but my hunch is a super NINO will foul up the jet stream so bad that we end up normal to above but with a lot of rain. Watch for a COOLISH November followed by a warm December. If the pattern changes in either direction around Christmas, you will have a good indication of how Jan/Feb turn out, just MHO
 
I agree, it didn't help us north central Alabama. The only good event I can remember was Jan 1982 but that was still neutral at the time. 2023 was terrible here!

Recorded Super El Niño Events (since 1950) Wikipedia+1​

According to NOAA’s Oceanic Niño Index (ONI) and other verified datasets, five events have met the ≥ +2.0 °C threshold:

  1. 1972–73 – First “super” event in the satellite-era record; peak ONI ~+2.0 °C iamelnino.com+1.
  2. 1982–83 – Very strong, unexpected in intensity; peak ONI ~+2.0 °C iamelnino.com+1.
  3. 1997–98 – Peak ONI ~+2.3 °C; most damaging 20th‑century El Niño the-weather.com.
  4. 2015–16 – Peak ONI ~+2.6 °C; strongest on record per ONI iamelnino.com+1.
  5. 2023–24 – Peak ONI ~+2.0 °C; one of the five strongest on record the-weather.com.
 
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