• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Wintry April 7 - 8th Mixed Bag Event

ForsythSnow

ForsythSnow

Moderator
Joined
Jan 5, 2017
Messages
10,272
Reaction score
20,197
Location
North Forsyth County, Georgia
I hereby create this thread because it needs one and to curse the storm. :D

Looks like it's got a severe aspect to it too so post here about anything severe related as well.
 
72F267CC-928B-4879-8E1F-08D489DAB476.png If the mixed bag contains heat and rain, this thread is money ! But the there’s the NAM:D
 
Brent said:
I'm all ready for my last cold rain for about 7-8 months :p
Click to expand...
I think the NAM gives you snow! Get the milk and bread, stat! ;)
 
Nam looking better again. ZR in northern MS this time. Speed, timing, tilt, and moisture flow seems to be allowing the potential of backside like the models hinted at originally.
 
2pm Saturday on 0z NAM
namconus_ref_frzn_seus_38.png

2pm Saturday on 18z NAM
namconus_ref_frzn_seus_40.png
 
A5D615EB-44B0-402D-99C0-0567C34AE9B6.png TWC Roxboro local forecast
 
Went from a wave riding a front to full fledged coastal. GFS is low 990's off Hatteras.

gfs.prateptype_cat.conus.trend (2).gif
 
RGEM matches up with GFS, just tucked in a little closer. This would be painful if this was earlier in the winter and rain.prateptype.us_ma.png
 
I still can't believe this actually happened... Heavy rain changed to heavy thundersnow and thundersleet mixed w/ graupel as far south as Moncure, Clayton, and Wilson in early May 1939, and snow managed to accumulate in Roxboro, Oxford, and Henderson in the middle of the day near high noon w/ a sun angle and insolation equivalent to what we see in August. So much for that sun angle and warm ground temps precluding accumulation. ;)
The big takeaway here (as we've also seen in other storms this year) ground temps, sun angle, etc. are pretty irrelevant if the precipitation is heavy enough and you're encased w/ thick cloud cover.
May 2 1939 NC Snowmap.png
 
Last edited:
Webberweather53 said:
I still can't believe this actually happened... Heavy rain changed to heavy thundersnow and thundersleet mixed w/ graupel as far south as Moncure, Clayton, and Wilson in early May 1939, and snow managed to accumulate in Roxboro, Oxford, and Henderson in the middle of the day near high noon w/ a sun angle and insolation equivalent to what we see in August. So much for that sun angle and warm ground temps precluding accumulation. ;)
The big takeaway here (as we've also seen in other storms this year) ground temps, sun angle, etc. are pretty irrelevant if the precipitation is heavy enough and you're encased w/ thick cloud cover.
View attachment 4980
Click to expand...
Would be awesome to see this happen again. This system seems to be similar.
 
Lol the models still can't pin down the low track or speed. Each run of each model sends it further south and slower it seems. Back down to south or central GA when 2 days ago it was going through the far northern parts of the state.
 
ForsythSnow said:
Lol the models still can't pin down the low track or speed. Each run of each model sends it further south and slower it seems. Back down to south or central GA when 2 days ago it was going through the far northern parts of the state.
Click to expand...
Seems it is moving back to where it was before when it had a bigger shot at winter precip for NC.
 
Although it doesn’t look like I’ll see more then a dusting of accumulation it does look like I’m in a good area to see a number of hours of snow falling from the sky tomorrow. Never thought I’d be anticipating snow this late in the season.
 
I'm anxious to see how strong this low pressure can get before getting too far away just to see how much cold can get sucked in. Sure is plenty of it available...and fairly close by for April. Hell, actually on the doorstep close by.
 
Roxboro special incoming!! As long as DC doesn’t get a flake, it will be a win!! Winter 17/18 , fear the southern trend!:D
 
I'm at a cabin in the Smokies for the weekend. We've got a bit of elevation so I'm liking our odds to see some flakes falling.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top