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Wintry Jan 29-30 Possible Light Snow

B

Brick Tamland

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GFS showed snow for eastern NC, and ICON shows it, too. First popped up today on the models, so it might have a legit shot.
 
Lol Brick gave it the kiss of death. Models will slowly catch on to the colder pattern and fantasy snow should start showing up. Probably some big dogs here in the next few days IMO
 
The picture of the models that you was referring to in the Feb forum says it’s valid for feb 3. So isn’t that for next weekend into Monday for your area? Just curious, I haven’t a clue how to read the maps
 
That is showing snow fall for the whole week. The snow in eastern NC should be from Monday/Tuesday.
 
How’s this looking?
 
Rain Cold said:
How’s this looking?
Click to expand...

Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
314 AM EST Sat Jan 27 2018

NCZ007>011-024>028-041>043-078-281030-
Person-Granville-Vance-Warren-Halifax-Orange-Durham-Franklin-Nash-
Edgecombe-Wake-Johnston-Wilson-Wayne-
314 AM EST Sat Jan 27 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

There is a slight chance of wintry weather late Monday night into
Tuesday morning from the Triangle area to the north and east.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$
 
Rain Cold said:
How’s this looking?
Click to expand...
Well Rah NWS did issue a HWO for a light event, their discussion states possible light zr since it's a classic cold chasing moisture and drying aloft to inhibit dendritic growth

There is a slight chance of wintry weather late Monday night into Tuesday morning from the Triangle area to the north and east.
 
Well, with the way things are looking here on the models, we should be happy if we see any snow from this. Nothing else showing up on the models for here.
 
Definitely a legit chance of snow flurries from Rocky Mount to Roanoke Rapids and points NE into the northern tidewater. Can't rule out some light snow accumulations in areas like Edenton and Elizabeth City Tuesday morning. I guess a few token flakes are possible but unlikely in the Triangle.
 
This should be a decent hybrid NWFS event for the mtns. Some of the higher peaks will go over 6 and most of the northern mtn counties will rack up 2 to 3. Even the valley floors could skim a inch down in Asheville. They have some extra synoptic features to play with for this event. And its those features that have a 20 to 30 percent of spitting a flake down here and as Webb alluded to much higher chance into the northern coastal plain.
This is just a way to pass time early this week, never was expected to be a big deal.
 
12z Nam 3km
sn10_acc.us_ma.png
 
Brick bringing it home for the mtns; he scores yet again, the force is strong with this jedi..
 
Brick always brings the magic when he starts threads:

Latest from RAH for tonight:


PoP has also been increased into the chance range for rain/snow
showers for tonight, given the expected development of a band of
scattered to numerous showers along the Arctic front. Measurable
liquid equivalent amounts are expected to remain very light,
however, with a few hundredths of an inch or less anticipated. Any
resultant snow amounts would be even lighter - perhaps a scattered
coating on car tops, etc, across the nrn Piedmont, where
precipitation intensity and likelihood of snow will be greatest, for
an hour in any given location. Winds will also increase with the
frontal passage, with following CAA/mixing and surface gusts between
25-30 mph.
 
NCSNOW said:
Brick always brings the magic when he starts threads:

Latest from RAH for tonight:


PoP has also been increased into the chance range for rain/snow
showers for tonight, given the expected development of a band of
scattered to numerous showers along the Arctic front. Measurable
liquid equivalent amounts are expected to remain very light,
however, with a few hundredths of an inch or less anticipated. Any
resultant snow amounts would be even lighter - perhaps a scattered
coating on car tops, etc, across the nrn Piedmont, where
precipitation intensity and likelihood of snow will be greatest, for
an hour in any given location. Winds will also increase with the
frontal passage, with following CAA/mixing and surface gusts between
25-30 mph.
Click to expand...
Well the good 'ol HRRRRRRRRR tries to bring a band of snow across the state tonight, heck who knows may see some flakes after all.... I know the temp is dropping like a rock at the homestead, down to 38.6 already.
 
metwannabe said:
Well the good 'ol HRRRRRRRRR tries to bring a band of snow across the state tonight, heck who knows may see some flakes after all.... I know the temp is dropping like a rock at the homestead, down to 38.6 already.
Click to expand...
Hrrr does look good with a decent band across the state.

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SD said:
Hrrr does look good with a decent band across the state.

Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk
Click to expand...
It gets a touch better each run... somebody going to get a legit snow shower in the morning

Sent from my SM-G920V using Tapatalk
 
packfan98 said:
Any chance I can get the SREF member that gives me 1.66” of snow to verify???
Click to expand...
If only lol. It's snowing moderate to heavy now in Boone. That's the band that will break containment. It's upper air driven and not just associated with NWFS that will hit them latter tonight. Watch it on radar and it should re appear just west of Statesville, Mocksville. That's are only chance
 
I see this has been a nice robust band of snow this morning...

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Wake up brick, RC, Shane y'all are getting a brief but moderate snow band

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Another overperformer in my book. 2 in a row.
Covered everything up here at work very well. Hopefully we can keep the streak going for the next event.
 
I tried to post a pic but oh well.
Our Mtn counties did very well with this event and it's still going up there this morning.
 
How much snow did everyone see out of this and/or what you've been able to glean for other areas via friends, family, etc? I was able to find reports for the Triad
 
Webberweather53 said:
How much snow did everyone see out of this and/or what you've been able to glean for other areas via friends, family, etc? I was able to find reports for the Triad
Click to expand...
I didn't even see a flake just a few rain drops, interestingly enough heading into work I saw a light dusting on rooftops in the extreme SW corner of Halifax Co. only stretched for a couple of miles.... saw nothing else headed into Louisburg
 
metwannabe said:
I didn't even see a flake just a few rain drops, interestingly enough heading into work I saw a light dusting on rooftops in the extreme SW corner of Halifax Co. only stretched for a couple of miles.... saw nothing else headed into Louisburg
Click to expand...

Oh okay! Thanks! Yeah I saw huffman recorded a dusting in southern Franklin
 
Webberweather53 said:
Oh okay! Thanks! Yeah I saw huffman recorded a dusting in southern Franklin
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Yeah I saw that also (he always says 5 miles west of Youngsville, so I'm guessing right along the Franklin, Granville, Wake Co lines, not too far from Brick I believe) and I'd like to hear what Orange County received, school systems there actually closed.....
of course could just be a case of poor timing and some overreaction
 
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There had to have been about a 1/2 in Greensboro in the Guilford College area. Everything is covered and there is still black ice and even some snow in the shady spots on the roads. Overperformer for sure.
 
Thanks guys for the info. I'm really curious to see what happened north of the Triad and SE of Raleigh towards Smithfield, Goldsboro, Wilson, & Greenville because New Bern reported snow but I haven't seen anything from these locations in between
 
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