First week of the month looks hot hot hot
Splitting the difference between the GFS and Euro gives many of us temps of 94-97 or so. The dewpoints look nasty too for many of us on the Euro. The GFS looks much better with them.First week of the month looks hot hot hot
Weeklies look awfulGFS likely overdone but that's a pretty crappy look. Summer needs to let go and go away.

Hotter and then hotter again going into September with no signs of letting up.These model runs are getting more and more sad.
The good thing is that the hottest and most humid September day is still better than most days in July and August. The sun is not nearly as intense and the sun isn’t out nearly as long.Hotter and then hotter again going into September with no signs of letting up.
These model runs are getting more and more sad.
Really could have used the typhoon recurve but it looks like it's going to go due west that usually spells heat for us. With as much typhoon activity that is modeled we could probably chop some of this heat off in the 2 week period but it might be a little longer than that. 97/98 which is a decent analog had periods of heat into mid October but that year at least had some exceptional cool mixed inHotter and then hotter again going into September with no signs of letting up.
Looking forward to Sweatober.First week of the month looks hot hot hot
Covid coming back?2019 repeat
Really could have used the typhoon recurve but it looks like it's going to go due west that usually spells heat for us. With as much typhoon activity that is modeled we could probably chop some of this heat off in the 2 week period but it might be a little longer than that. 97/98 which is a decent analog had periods of heat into mid October but that year at least had some exceptional cool mixed in
Couple of storms got integrated into the jet around the Aleutians prior to this. We can only hope.the last frame of the overnight euro was a H5 look i haven't seen in a minute
View attachment 197623
2019 repeat
I think all we can really say is hot through the end of next week ish, and it isn't going to be downright miserable this weekend either (at least up my way). Up for grabs starting next weekend. Plus I'll take the AIFS being more optimistic on ridge breakdown vs Euro12z euro killed the heat lol
Yeah man I am super skeptical about that backdoor front and even more so with how the Euro backs it west with the big trough in the PNW. That just screams for an eastward adjustment of the heat ridge in time imo. If we can get that backdoor front though would be a top notch first full weekend of college football weather wise especially for us in the wedge zonesI think all we can really say is hot through the end of next week ish, and it isn't going to be downright miserable this weekend either (at least up my way). Up for grabs starting next weekend. Plus I'll take the AIFS being more optimistic on ridge breakdown vs Euro
Not from what I saw on Pivotal; but... its going to get a lot harder to get obscene heat here pretty quick. GSP's latest ever 100 degree reading is Sept 9th. Any 90s suck; especially after Sept 1st {IMO}, but it's often still hot that first week or two. Yes, 2019, but that was an outlier; just like March 1960 or August 2007. Last year we were pretty much done with the high heat after July but we're just going to have to wait longer this year; maybe all the way to that mid Sept window. I hate waiting on Fall but summer is on it's last legs and will succumb.12z euro killed the heat lol
Brent, man you have my full sympathy and merits. I just counted 23, 100 degree days since July 21st and you're not done yet. You definitely deserve some refreshing air over your way!Might as well set more record highs... I can't even count how many there's been View attachment 197645