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Misc This Means WAR

Exactly. And every second this gets dragged out makes Trump more desperate to cut and run. Iran should hold classes on Negotiations



You mean how they publicly say "We aren't coming to negotiate." Only for the guy to pop in and run to friendly countries?

Yep, masterclass. Hahaha

And can we please cut out the "Trump is desperate and is gonna cut and run" nonsense? He actually seems extremely calm which is very, very weird for him.
 
You mean how they publicly say "We aren't coming to negotiate." Only for the guy to pop in and run to friendly countries?

Yep, masterclass. Hahaha

And can we please cut out the "Trump is desperate and is gonna cut and run" nonsense? He actually seems extremely calm which is very, very weird for him.
I second this 100%….your whining and crying about Iran “winning” and Trump is “begging for a deal” is nothing but trolling. It couldn’t be further from the truth, the mods have warned about it….its time for you to give it a rest or a mod to do it for you.
 
The blockade will only work for so long. What do you think happens when China gets involved. They buy 90+% of the oil Iran sells. China will start to hurt badly before too long and they will NOT just sit back and take it. I think they'll start escorting their ships into the strait so they can get Iran's oil out. What do you think Trump will do then? He will back off and end the blockade, because there is no way we can get into a war with them. THAT is how Iran wins this.

The result is Iran's regime survives, they keep their nuclear program, and the strait is closed forever.
 
The blockade will only work for so long. What do you think happens when China gets involved. They buy 90+% of the oil Iran sells. China will start to hurt badly before too long and they will NOT just sit back and take it. I think they'll start escorting their ships into the strait so they can get Iran's oil out. What do you think Trump will do then? He will back off and end the blockade, because there is no way we can get into a war with them. THAT is how Iran wins this.

The result is Iran's regime survives, they keep their nuclear program, and the strait is closed forever.

China is not gonna do squat besides eventually force Iran to the table.
 
No, they will do something; eventually force Iran to cut their loses and agree to terms. China is not gonna lift a finger militarily to help Iran beyond weapons under the table.
They would foolish not to. Iran may not hold too many cards, but China certainly does even without a military move. The biggest of those cards is rare earth metals. If China cuts those off from us, we are in big trouble.
 
Iran’s advantage from waiting this out is that they have an autocracy that doesn’t have to worry about reelection vs the US’ upcoming midterms with the GOP hurting from this war, it getting worse, and GOP facing likelihood of massive losses.
 
Iran’s advantage from waiting this out is that they have an autocracy that doesn’t have to worry about reelection vs the US’ upcoming midterms with the GOP hurting from this war, it getting worse, and GOP facing likelihood of massive losses.

This is true, but historically the majority party has lost the midterms anyways. The difference is Trump isn't gonna be up for reelection. If he wants that "middle-east" peacemaker badge he clearly desires, he will not relent.

Sure, the GOP could try to check him, but that would definitely send their chances down the toilet.
 
This is true, but historically the majority party has lost the midterms anyways. The difference is Trump isn't gonna be up for reelection. If he wants that "middle-east" peacemaker badge he clearly desires, he will not relent.

Sure, the GOP could try to check him, but that would definitely send their chances down the toilet.

True as the House looks close to a done deal. But he’d prefer a smaller Dems majority there. Also, the Senate is uncertain. He doesn’t want to also lose that.
 
True as the House looks close to a done deal. But he’d prefer a smaller Dems majority there. Also, the Senate is uncertain. He doesn’t want to also lose that.

Agree there, but I'm to the point that I don't think it matters much, in fact could hurt him more if he pulls back. Kind of the lot he chose in this path.
 
No it isnt how all wars end. Lincoln didnt beg Jefferson Davis to make a deal in Jan 1865. Lee surrendered and Jefferson was arrested and the only talking done was after a total surrender. In WW1 the allies forced germany to sign a surrender and only then did we talk, and the talk didnt include any German demands. In WW2 we forced both Japan and Germany to sign unconditional surrender and we proceeded to any talks after they surrendered. We hung many of them. Yes, in Viet Nam we quit and talked and that led to the total victory of the North 2 years later. We talked in Korea and our military is still there and the North is a nuclear power now. Wellington didnt talk to Napoleon before Waterloo and wanted a fair deal for everyone. The French were routed and Napoleon ended up dead on a tiny island in the middle of nowhere. Russia didnt beg napoleon to talk after he invaded Russia and was headed to Moscow. They fought, delayed, and ended up with 500,000 of Napoleons army dead inside Russia. Rome talked twice with Carthage and ended up in negotiated stalemates. Finally they were sick of talking and in the 3rd war they eliminated Carthage from existence

Not a single one of those situations (grossly misconstrued situations but I won't bother) has any relevance to this conflict. We hold no Iranian territory and they know we have no means to engage in a land campaign.

Right now our main concern should be coming to a settlement that allows us to keep our regional presence. A somewhat diminished presence is likely as we have at minimum 17 installations across the Middle East that have been rendered unusable from Iranian fire. There's been a ton of equipment and personnel heading over there since the ceasefire to start repairing what can be repaired quickly but we're looking at many billions to stand that back up. Losing 5th fleet home port is the worst of all that. Not only is Port Salman heavily damaged from what we've seen get through UAE censorship, we can't even refuel ships there if we had access to it because the Iranians hit the land based storage on base.
 
Agree there, but I'm to the point that I don't think it matters much, in fact could hurt him more if he pulls back. Kind of the lot he chose in this path.

-keep in mind Fetterman is essentially R and may become R and Vance is tiebreaker..so GOP may only need 49 to keep Dems from being in control

- Cooper (NC) and ME (moderate Collins losing) are best chances for D gains but Collins is tough and appeals to many non-GOP.

-Dems in addition to holding on in GA (Ossoff), MI, and others, also likely have to win min. of 2 (3) of these 4 to have good chance to get to 51 (52):

AK: Best chance for Dems of these 4 appears to be AK. Watch moderate native Alaskan Peltola, who is ahead of incumbent Sullivan in last poll and who’s last Dem to win statewide

TX: Watch Dem primary winner moderate Talarico (TX), a proud Christian who will appeal to some GOPers but it’s deep red state and thus gives ad to GOP (Paxton or Cornyn)

OH: special election Husted (R incumbent) vs Brown (D); Husted has only slight ad in polls

IA: Ernst (R) retiring; deep Trump state in ‘24; Hinson is favored to win GOP primary and then election but polls are close for each of the 2 Dems vs Hinson and IA farmers’ soy exports to China have dropped in favor of S America due to the tariff war.

So, for the Dems to effectively control the Senate (52), they likely as of now have to win 2 of TX, OH, and IA, a tall order. This is largely what will determine Senate control and what GOP/Trump realizes. How long the Iran War will last due to price of gas, availability of fertilizer, price of groceries, etc. will play a role.
 
Someone tried to get Trump again

Gunman killed in lobby evidently. No report of anyone actually being shot thank goodness.
They’re about to resume the program. It happened only ~20 minutes ago.
Wolf Blitzer only feet away from gunman.
 
Gunman killed in lobby evidently. No report of anyone actually being shot thank goodness.
They’re about to resume the program. It happened only ~20 minutes ago.
Wolf Blitzer only feet away from gunman.

How in the world does someone get into that. It's not like they were outside

Especially after what happened before. I don't understand
 
Gunman took ~6 shots per Wolf Blitzer, who was only a few feet away and was jumped on by police for his protection. He doesn’t know how the gunman was able to get that close to the ballroom because there are metal detectors. Secret Service says gunman “in custody”.
 
Posted at 9:17PM, <40 minutes after the shots were fired:

Quite an evening in D.C. Secret Service and Law Enforcement did a fantastic job. They acted quickly and bravely. The shooter has been apprehended, and I have recommended that we “LET THE SHOW GO ON” but, will entirely be guided by Law Enforcement. They will make a decision shortly. Regardless of that decision, the evening will be much different than planned, and we’ll just, plain, have to do it again. President DONALD J. TRUMP



So, evidently the shooter was not killed.
A LEO got shot into his bullet proof vest. Hope he’s ok.
 
Law Enforcement has requested that we leave the premises, consistent with protocol, which we will do, immediately. I will be giving a press conference in 30 minutes from the White House Press Briefing Room. The First Lady, plus the Vice President, and all Cabinet members, are in perfect condition. We will be speaking to you in a half an hour. I have spoken with all the representatives in charge of the event, and we will be rescheduling within 30 days. President DONALD J. TRUMP

 
It could have been an attack originally planned for the media, but most likely, Trump. but we really don't know yet.
I had the same thought as well. Most likely against the President, but a lot of Washington celebrities and media from both sides.

Too early to say at this point. But I'm sure others will chime in with definitive commentary before all the details are known..
 
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