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Pattern April Oven

Unlike most here, I think the Summer will be average or slightly below average for the SE. Rain could be sparse either way unless a Tropical system moves or way in June. I think the warmest part of the US will be upper Midwest and West (per average) this summer with drought persisting in the Central and SE US. Long range forecasts are a crap shoot so take this with a grain (or ton) of salt but I am optimistic on the temperatures at least
Expect the usual hot se. Summer
 
So we just skipping severe weather season in the southeast this year? This pattern is a bummer. I dunno about you guys but I need something to track!
 
Pattern looks like the warm early nino Decembers we have had recently with the wave ridge over the east and the break offshore. Think it is a short lived thing and we see rain chances increase the 2nd half of the month. We really did catch a crappy break here with the trough amplifying and pushing this front through. Womp
 
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