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March 2026 - Winter or Spring?

Jimmy Hypocracy said:
Eastern trough W
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Big difference between Eastern NC and up to DELMARVA and the inner SE; kinda confirms what we saw at ground level. I had a good 10 day period but lots of very warm stretches overall.

Meanwhile, this my first full week of March:
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A/C gonna have to come on. And already seeing lots of buds coming out, Bradford pear across the street already flowering.
 
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Well lets all hope it works! Gonna be flipping on the AC it looks like by Thursday at the latest. Get to see it run from March 5th- next early October. 7-8 months straight . What a joy..... Sweat Season is here
 
SD said:
This would stop the AN weather pretty quickly View attachment 194684
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there's been some distant hoots/hollers for a cooldown late next week for a couple days. problem is if it comes thru with any gumption its problems svr-wise for somebody with the airmass waiting ahead. that time of year, i suppose

in the meantime sure dude, i guess i'll forecast airmass storms this weekend. lol

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Full on rooting for torch this time of year (since my NY visit is warm anyway). Torch march generally feels nice. Cool/Annoying/snowless cold March at this point is unwelcome to me. Have to deal with pollen coating but what are you going to do, it comes a few weeks later eventually anyway.
 
I’m a bit surprised the March thread is as quiet at it currently is:

After the upcoming SE torch, there will likely be a notable and possibly even widespread severe threat in the S US next week. This will then likely be followed by a potent cold shot as we approach the Ides of March, which would more than likely be the last hard freeze threat for much of the SE (especially S of NC). This was why the Euro Weeklrs have gotten so much colder for midmonth. So, a highly volatile period to say the least is in the cards per model consensus for the next couple of weeks! Not the least bit boring and should get this and other threads hopping.

The WPO is currently being forecasted to dip to its lowest in March since 2017! That -WPO helped lead to Carolina snow (flurries even to ATL) and hard freezes down to N FL!

WPO forecasted plunge next week: lowest dip in March since at least 2017
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Looks more like May here with the multiple days of severe weather threats but yeah... I'm already seeing signs of a freeze mid to late next week

Just in general a lot cooler weather too... No more 70s and 80s

If you believe AccuWeather it stays on the cooler side all the way to the start of April
 
GaWx said:
I’m a bit surprised the March thread is as quiet at it currently is:

After the upcoming SE torch, there will likely be a notable and possibly even widespread severe threat in the S US next week. This will then likely be followed by a potent cold shot as we approach the Ides of March, which would more than likely be the last hard freeze threat for much of the SE (especially S of NC). This was why the Euro Weeklrs have gotten so much colder for midmonth. So, a highly volatile period to say the least is in the cards per model consensus for the next couple of weeks! Not the least bit boring and should get this and other threads hopping.

The WPO is currently being forecasted to dip to its lowest in March since 2017! That -WPO helped lead to Carolina snow (flurries even to ATL) and hard freezes down to N FL!

WPO forecasted plunge next week: lowest dip in March since at least 2017
View attachment 194709
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I'm good on the cold, no thanks.

Especially considering that flowering out looks ready to explode.

Guess the silver lining is that I see nothing predicted near freezing.
 
GaWx said:
I’m a bit surprised the March thread is as quiet at it currently is:

After the upcoming SE torch, there will likely be a notable and possibly even widespread severe threat in the S US next week. This will then likely be followed by a potent cold shot as we approach the Ides of March, which would more than likely be the last hard freeze threat for much of the SE (especially S of NC). This was why the Euro Weeklrs have gotten so much colder for midmonth. So, a highly volatile period to say the least is in the cards per model consensus for the next couple of weeks! Not the least bit boring and should get this and other threads hopping.

The WPO is currently being forecasted to dip to its lowest in March since 2017! That -WPO helped lead to Carolina snow (flurries even to ATL) and hard freezes down to N FL!

WPO forecasted plunge next week: lowest dip in March since at least 2017
View attachment 194709
Click to expand...

Sometimes I really want to give up on any long range musings. Back in Jan through most of Feb it looked like this is what we would do in March then it started look like the MJO would go more into the MC and not be as fast. Well it looks like the initial ideas were correct. Blah.
 
GeorgiaGirl said:
I'm good on the cold, no thanks.

Especially considering that flowering out looks ready to explode.

Guess the silver lining is that I see nothing predicted near freezing.
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We’ll see. A freeze or two in mid March down into the SE wouldn’t be the least bit surprising as it’s still too far out for the models to get a good handle on and it’s not the least bit uncommon in mid-March. They’re all going with a strong -WPO. Will that be enough to drive the bus despite a -PNA? This is unknown.

Azaleas here have gradually been coming out the last 2 weeks (quite common by now), but they’ve still not totally exploded and aren’t out as early as some recent years. The upcoming torch should accelerate them.

I’m enjoying the last flying bugless days. The wasps and others will be out soon enough. The early AM sand gnats already made their first appearance last week.
 
Euro Weeklies slightly less cold 3/16-22 than yesterday. That’s the only full chillyish week just like on yesterday’s run. So, no this isn’t in any way resembling a long period of cold for the E US. It’s just a temporary reprieve from AN, with a chilly airmass or two, which I always love to see. I do hope it trends colder and longer.
 
superjames1992 said:
We can make this work. 🌭

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Im Not No Way GIF
 
BrickTamland said:
Have one more week of great weather. Next Thursday it looks like it'll switch to cool and/or rainy for at least a week. :mad:
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Hey Brick,
Big whoop regarding the potential of one week averaging near normal to possibly a little BN cool following a torch as if that would be a big deal. Your negativity about this sounds overly dramatic. Plus rain is badly needed, regardless, should it actually be “rainy”.
 
GaWx said:
Hey Brick,
Big whoop regarding the potential of one week averaging near normal to possibly a little BN cool following a torch as if that would be a big deal. Your negativity about this sounds overly dramatic. Plus rain is badly needed, regardless, should it actually be “rainy”.
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Averages havent even hit 60 here yet and people think it's supposed to be late April early may weather
 
GaWx said:
Hey Brick,
Big whoop regarding the potential of one week averaging near normal to possibly a little BN cool following a torch as if that would be a big deal. Your negativity about this sounds overly dramatic. Plus rain is badly needed, regardless, should it actually be “rainy”.
Click to expand...
Season 9 Ok GIF by The Office
 
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