Brent
Member
Today is the 17th day this month above normal. Just insane
Today is the 17th day this month above normal. Just insane
Sorry, I still can’t hear you above the 3-4” snow that fell here this day a year ago, well after the first week of February.Y’all don’t want to hear it. Winter weather is over after the first week of February, I’m saying weather not a couple of more freezes.View attachment 194341

I'm not going to accuweather to find this article but what's the criteria for winter?Y’all don’t want to hear it. Winter weather is over after the first week of February, I’m saying weather not a couple of more freezes.View attachment 194341
Impossible! Winter ends after the first week of February!One year ago today!! 4.5” of beautiful snow in Youngsville!!![]()
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“Climate scientists defined “winter” not by calendar dates but by the 90 coldest consecutive days in a historical reference period, then compared how long those winterlike conditions persist today versus several decades ago. In many places, winter now starts later and ends earlier, a clear sign that seasonal timing is shifting as the planet warms.”I
I'm not going to accuweather to find this article but what's the criteria for winter?
That's weird, if it's the coldest 90 days how can it get longer or shorter?“Climate scientists defined “winter” not by calendar dates but by the 90 coldest consecutive days in a historical reference period, then compared how long those winterlike conditions persist today versus several decades ago. In many places, winter now starts later and ends earlier, a clear sign that seasonal timing is shifting as the planet warms.”
Seems a little nebulous. In any case, assuming many of us match up around DC’s (3 days) and Nashville’s (4 days) numbers, winter’s shortening would be pretty imperceptible without diving into the data. I guess Atlanta’s (11 days) would be more so, but I’d be very curious if local UHI effects as the metro has grown out to the airport in recent years have more to do with that than anything. I do find it interesting, and potentially informative, that DC’s and Nashville’s winters have not changed that much according to their criteria given both airports lie very close to the city center, and thus metro growth over the last few decades wouldn’t have affected their UHI influences st the reporting sites much.
I think they are taking the 90-day coldest period from 30+ years ago and comparing that to how long those same conditions persist today. It does seem a little finicky and I’d be curious to see their data. They also say 15% of reporting stations have longer winters now.That's weird, if it's the coldest 90 days how can it get longer or shorter?
Id be interested to take UHI stations and compare them to rural but most of the rural stations are short on historyI think they are taking the 90-day coldest period from 30+ years ago and comparing that to how long those same comditi8ns persist today. It does seem a little finicky and I’d be curious to see their data. They also say 15% of reporting stations have longer winters now.
This is some of the weirdest stuff I've read from folks. We had like a 5 year run of hitting 80 in feb and I think it snowed in March 3 of those 5. I guess I forget those winters of the 90s where it was below freezing from Thanksgiving to memorial dayMan, I’ve seen snow in April around here a few times and just assumed it meant it snowed in early spring. But apparently it means April is a “winter” month around here. Weird!![]()
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Yeah, I’m pretty sure February outsnows December pretty much anywhere in the SE and in many places March does as well, I suspect.Tupelo has actually averaged nearly as much snow in February (0.6") as January (0.7") historically, and the last decade hasn't been much different. Tupelo also got 3.8" in February 2021 which was a total dud east of the Apps. Tupelo averages 0.1" in December, if February isn't a winter month because it doesn't snow enough, December isn't either.
Even though February is typically warmer than December I still consider it a winter month as it has significantly more snow events.
Severe weather has been dormant for the most part over the Southeast during the past few years. With El Nino taking the stage, that might change.Wonder if we're going to see another mild transition to Spring this year, or if we in the deep south (GA/SC esp) are going to see a big uptick in severe weather. We haven't had a significant outbreak in a hot minute.
For most of us, we don’t need a cold winter to get above average snow. We just need a cold few days or couple weeks. I think the winter of 1999-2000 was warmer than average but it didn’t matter because a two-week period in late January of cold resulted in 20”+ in RDU, for example. I think that may have been the only period with measurable snow all winter.Well in 16/17 it didn't even really snow so there's that? December 1975 had one of the worst tornadoes for the city ever in December. Meanwhile It's still truly amazing to me in this dumpster fire of a winter we have our average snow on the booksView attachment 194369
For most of us, we don’t need a cold winter to get above average snow. We just need a cold few days or couple weeks. I think the winter of 1999-2000 was warmer than average but it didn’t matter because a two-week period in late February or cold resulted in 20”+ in RDU, for example. I think that may have been the only period with measurable snow all winter.
Now, don’t get me wrong, a cold winter gives you more chances, but it’s not a necessary requirement.