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Wintry Machine Learning Mauler 1/30-2/1

Latest HRRR took all meaningful precip away from Cobb and Cherokee counties.
Someone smarter than me explain why there’s still hope!
Models (especially CAMs) aren’t end-all-be-all. I caught a ton of flack for forecasting less than 1” in Cobb and ATL and for having that consistent forecast over the last 3 days.
 
Picked up an inch overnight. Unexpected but welcome. Now we wait around all day for the coastal low to spin up and bring the main event tonight.

ILM has kept totals mostly consistent around 4-8” for SENC and NESC. Still some doubt about where the dry slot sets up so things a bit in flux. All the more confusing is the CAE office saying “no dry slot” yesterday. It won’t even be in their FA. Not the first time they’ve second guessed other forecast offices in recent history.
 
It's been pouring graupel here for 15 minutes. I hate to be a snob, but i'm concerned this is really eating in to my accumulations. Hopefully we get some dendrites soon.
same thing here though it seems to be more dendrite-y now
 
Starting to pick up now in Clarkesville/Habersham - started out very fine but filling in with larger flakes now. Absolutely no wind - when is the wind supposed to crank up?
You are right under the surface trough. My wind is also almost calm. I expect the snow to start here within the hour...clouds have that look,.
 
2 things will happen today for sure:

Ill measure a foot on table on deck
& I want receive a roof collapser snow fall.

Cause wind blowing it every which way
I don’t see how you are going to measure from your deck table. It must be protected from the wind. Every time mine starts to accumulate the wind clears it all off.
 
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