holy ----; raw gfs bufkit soundings have a 27:1 snow ratio at one point in KCAE
this is not possible btw, something is wrong
holy ----; raw gfs bufkit soundings have a 27:1 snow ratio at one point in KCAE
Perhaps 17:1 snow ratio....this is not possible btw, something is wrong
NBM likes Roxboro.
Point taken but I cannot let myself be excited… yetWith your username being what it is you should be ashamed at the words you just typed
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In the 2003 storm we had ratios of 49 to 1. So, yes, it is possible. Charlotte received 8.5 inches of snow with only 0.17 inches of liquid.this is not possible btw, something is wrong
We’re fine. Early indications on the nam and rgem don’t have this dramatic minima. We may not jackpot, but we’ll get a good snow.Yeah it's pretty hard to look at. Literally, every single model output shows that hole over Western upstate. Most put a couple inches there but comparatively it's a skip job. If you look at the QPF simulations they all rotate the edge of the precip right around Oconee/Pickens/Greenville/Anderson and it really mins those areas. We really need the precip farther West or an earlier dig with better gulf moisture. The ticks west we've been seeing are enough to give us a tease but not close to the big show. This is typical in these set ups. And everytime someone references Jan 2000 I feel like I've been gut punched and need to puke.
Yea I’m over in Thomson, GA and that GFS output would be a rough outcome for us. Especially with so much snow just over the line in South Carolina. Hopefully all the short range guidance will give us more precip.I swear to goodness, at this point, I’d be fine with every model EXCEPT the GFS and to a lesser extent, ICON now.
That GFS evolution would be such a punch in the gut man. Only a couple hours of snow there…
told you that ---- could changereal quickly the 00z weathernext was a massive improvement at 0z vs 12z (18z never ran)
View attachment 190470
Here's the old run
View attachment 190471
Locked and Loaded! GFS leading the way....
Well, 99% of the time we are on pace to get this cold dry high ratio snow everything shifts north and we are trying to hang onto a slop storm...The models look better and better......now the fear posting sets in - what could go wrong??
Understandable
Thanks Jim BobsYou can just sense that this will drift OTS or up into Virginia today on the models. Prepare accordingly.
maybe the gfs is scoring a coup for america 250
This is going to be so annoying to future us bc people will always say REMEMBER WHEN THE GFS NAILED THE 2026 STORMmaybe the gfs is scoring a coup for america 250
Those 50/50 lows always seem to move out faster as we closer to events.Whiff, warm nose, dry slot, which way will I screw this one up.
This is the last time I truly thought i would get 6+SD seems to be taking the lead on that this morning. He had nightmares of a being stuck between two precip maximums
View attachment 190507

Stuff nightmares are made ofThis is the last time I truly thought i would get 6+ View attachment 190509
If you guys are gonna delete my comments this should be as well it serves no purpose or value.Based on? A hunch?
Brick Jr will enter the chatThis is going to be so annoying to future us bc people will always say REMEMBER WHEN THE GFS NAILED THE 2026 STORM
Actually he was asking what we've all asked of members posting. If your gonna say this or that is gonna happen, explain why you think that. A little insight, don't just pop in make a click bait post and poof. It's not complicatedIf you guys are gonna delete my comments this should be as well it serves no purpose or value.
BrutalThis is the last time I truly thought i would get 6+ View attachment 190509