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Misc General Banter Thread

I am so tired of missing out on Winter storms by less than a 100 Miles..lol Got spoiled by the foot of snow in 2017 and now it feels like we miss out more than often..
 
That icon was absolutely brutal for the western piedmont of nc lmao
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I’ll put this here, but I can’t see anything remotely similar to the GFS happening with that 500mb setup. We really need to shift everything at least 100 miles west and dig that northern energy more. I guess it could improve. Obviously small tweaks with phasing energy causes dramatic changes at the surface.
 
Welp, I unfortunately can’t say that I’m a fan of the GFS evolution anymore. When I said a Carolina Crusher replay probably actually works for me, I did not mean “Carolina Crusher, but 50 miles to the north.”

Sorry, NC folks.

The AI is cool with me as it looks like it’s probably all snow with 0.3” QPF, but I’m not on board with this evolution occurring to my north.
 
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Wanna know why good old fashioned NC Mixed Bag storms are far more awesome than some straight powder event? Bc this will be where for like a week with these temps. Unless it’s gonna be like 16-24” yall can keep the all powder storm, gimme a good 8-12” with 1-2” Sleet and 1/4” Freezing Rain on top and a week in Upper 20s / Low 30s. All day everyday


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IIRC my favorite storm Feb 2004 had a meso low in a similar spot that led to further snowfall overnight in the CLT area. Don't know the specifics though. Also it can't be a bad thing that AIFS also had one in a similar location the last run.

Maybe we just completely lose the coastal but can keep that?
Niner - no mesolow with Feb 2004. That one was long track southern stream gulf low. Jan 2003 was the strong mesolow storm. We’ll have a notable mesolow with this one if we have a good wave pass track / tilt / vort max. Sfc low off the coast won’t do anything for us unless everything slows down and bombs out - we don’t need it if we get the upper level low right
 
Welp, I unfortunately can’t say that I’m a fan of the GFS evolution anymore. When I said a Carolina Crusher replay probably actually works for me, I did not mean “Carolina Crusher, but 50 miles to the north.”

Sorry, NC folks.

The AI is cool with me as it looks like it’s probably all snow with 0.3” QPF, but I’m not on board with this evolution occurring to my north.
Would be threading the needle, but with a small adjustment south on the GFS setup, I think there's a best-case scenario (for this particular setup in terms of Georgia) where one of those strong outer bands of the LP follows the Savannah River and East Georgia gets 2-4 inches.
 
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