Stormsfury
Member
Well, as we wait for WeatherNext, and the delay. Rug pull or jump scare (good kind)?
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Misc General Banter Thread
- Thread starter Rain Cold
- Start date
And a new AI model enters the rink.
packfan98
Moderator
I'm trying my best to get 4+ inches out of this potential storm. Haven't had a 4" storm since 2018.
SnowNiner
Member
I think east. So narrow goal posts. So tiny
packfan98
Moderator
I think it will be similar, but a tick worse. Then it will do a good jump scare at 0z and we will be riding high!
packfan98
Moderator
Or, it never runs for 12z and leaves us hanging....
The SouthernWx earth 2 going to hit
This run determines the vibe of the board for the next 6hrs lol
The drums are rolling ..................... This is one of the most anticipated model runs I've seen since I joined up here.
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- Jan 23, 2021
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- Lebanon Township, Durham County NC
We have bastardized the definition of trend
its running, everyone go offer some herbs and spices to John AI
SnowNiner
Member
the thing doesn't often make big jumps so this will probably be anticlimacticThis is seriously more nerve racking than is healthy to be.
Exactly. If you see a smidge of a light green contour move 8 miles west you take it as a big win
SnowNiner
Member
Any tick east though is not ideal considering the last few. Doesn't have to be big, but it would be a trend IMO.
WolfpackHomer91
Member
We should all ban together and create our own forecast model
1. Historical Data / Anomaly’s
2. Geographical Specific Climo / Data
3. NAM Thermals
4. Mix of NBM for QPF
That’s a solid model imo
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1. Historical Data / Anomaly’s
2. Geographical Specific Climo / Data
3. NAM Thermals
4. Mix of NBM for QPF
That’s a solid model imo
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Oof
So many better hobbies
blueheronNC
Member
Weathernext2 on an island all on its own. Unfortunately that island is named "Reality"
Bigedd09
Member
Upper level lows are very hard to predict. Especially high ratio ones. This one could pack a punch . Short range models will forecast it better than the weathernext imho
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
BrickTamland
Member
JimBobs
Member
Now we all just predict what the next model will say instead of predicting what the actual weather will be.
Bomb is probably off the table but at least we’ll get to see the Canadian and American models show 2-3ft for a few more cycles. That’s still pretty fun
blueheronNC
Member
WeatherNext2 takes care of predicting the actual weather for us. No need for a thousand pages of watching anymore. That said, ULL in the short-range can overproduce directly in its track so I'd watch the general footprint of that on WeatherNext2 and then hope it overperforms within that zone.
Kylo unhinged part 52
Coming to a theater near you
Coming to a theater near you
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
Member
2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
The NE weenie calling for something that benefits his followers. I’m shocked!
Kiss my arse weathernext!
GeorgiaGirl
Member
Yeah, honestly the Euro looked ULL focused to me too, and not coastal bomb focused.
I'm torn honestly. 13 year old me was broken by 3/1/2009 not working out and I'm already seeing some signs of the best banding whiffing me lmaooo.
I'm torn honestly. 13 year old me was broken by 3/1/2009 not working out and I'm already seeing some signs of the best banding whiffing me lmaooo.
mx3gsr92
Member
So is like Weathernext never wrong or never makes changes? You guys are tossing everything else because of this one model run. .
HailCore
Member
I have still been clinging on to hope with my house falling comfortably on the razor thin edge of the 0.1 QPF contour over northern GA....
What could possibly go wrong?
Wasn't the weather next like 2-4 around here the Sunday before last or was that another AI model
blueheronNC
Member
Past 5 runs of WeatherNext2 adjusting drier and further east and now within its timeframe where it subsequently makes very few and minor adjustments.
BrickTamland
Member
NCPROGRAMMER
Member
I am here for you all. A few more runs and it will all be over.
BrickTamland
Member
i do enjoy watching the "actually this model sucks" or "actually this model is great" every storm. this is not targeted at anyone
We have the 12z CFS on our side:
BrickTamland
Member
I mean besides the WeatherNext, ICON and UK the other models look great or they have been moving in the right direction. Euro doesn't have a monster storm here but it does have a decent amount of snow. It's just hard to see totals like what the GFS and Canadian show and then see some models not have anything when you're 4 days out.