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Misc 2018 Banter & Venting Thread

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Clayton Reid said:
No it's not. Im just saying. It getting so ridiculous now it's actually funny haha. We gotta learn not to be so desperate that we get so riled up over a setup that really isn't that good to begin with.
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It's actually not a bad look at all it's just more all or nothing

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Mr. Grinch said:
It's actually not a bad look at all it's just more all or nothing

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Which is pretty much all we get around here anymore.

I need to remind myself the model runs are for entertainment only. I think the best they can tell you when it comes to snow around here is if there is a possibility or not. When it comes to the fine details, especially for our area, it's really up in the air and whatever happens will happen. Most of the time we don't know until it starts happening.
 
Most likely, we got 18z NAM'd but it's changes at H5 need to be watched for on the globals inside 60 hours. Let me reiterate it, at least in my case, right up to the last day before go time, every global model was wrong on where the light snow accumulation line was going to reach out to. Then the Euro kind of got a clue. Every single one of them was wrong before then.

Its not that I saw snow, I did not but a former friend of ours from church, took pictures of light snow accumulation that happened in a town that is about 15 miles south of me that I saw. If I remember correctly, the cutoff that we saw on the globals at least in Georgia was in the southern CSRA counties, at best and likely much further south until close to again, go time.

The long range NAM is bad but inside 60 we have had the mets and the scholar say it can pick up on key changes on here. It cannot be thrown in the trash completely.
 
Brick Tamland said:
Posts like this never get old. Am I right?
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Bahahaha! You got that right. I'll admit the 19th threat has me a little intrigued, but it'll most likely go down like a ship in future runs. Everything that looked like it couldn't fail has fail, so what makes those threats any different? SMH.
 
Brick Tamland said:
Which is pretty much all we get around here anymore.

I need to remind myself the model runs are for entertainment only. I think the best they can tell you when it comes to snow around here is if there is a possibility or not. When it comes to the fine details, especially for our area, it's really up in the air and whatever happens will happen. Most of the time we don't know until it starts happening.
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I think the fixation with qpf output and pretty ptype maps has really led folks down the wrong path and really sets up the excitement and heartbreak we see. I rarely look at a qpf map outside of 24 hours

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Clayton Reid said:
Bahahaha! You got that right. I'll admit the 19th threat has me a little intrigued, but it'll most likely go down like a ship in future runs. Everything that looked like it couldn't fail has fail, so what makes those threats any different? SMH.
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Or you could just wait and see, and if it does then so what, it is not a big deal.
 
Just saying, but I'm really not understanding at all what to look for at H5 or on the 500MB map with this one. Only thing I can really detect at all on H5 is the shortwave is further west on one of them, that's it, with looking at HR 60. They don't look different at all in strength or anything.
 
Going forward obvious trolling and snarky comments toward other members with no rationale will not be tolerated. I'm honestly fed up with it. If you have a problem with someone's posts put them on ignore. If you don't agree give a logical reason or ask why. Making off the cuff smart ass comments accomplishes nothing. I've been the most lenient staff member regarding banter and off topic chatter and I'm tired of standing up for people behind the scenes. The ban hammer is real and not that far away

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Mr. Grinch said:
Going forward obvious trolling and snarky comments toward other members with no rationale will not be tolerated. I'm honestly fed up with it. If you have a problem with someone's posts put them on ignore. If you don't agree give a logical reason or ask why. Making off the cuff smart ass comments accomplishes nothing. I've been the most lenient staff member regarding banter and off topic chatter and I'm tired of standing up for people behind the scenes. The ban hammer is real and not that far away

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This...
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Mr. Grinch said:
Going forward obvious trolling and snarky comments toward other members with no rationale will not be tolerated. I'm honestly fed up with it. If you have a problem with someone's posts put them on ignore. If you don't agree give a logical reason or ask why. Making off the cuff smart ass comments accomplishes nothing. I've been the most lenient staff member regarding banter and off topic chatter and I'm tired of standing up for people behind the scenes. The ban hammer is real and not that far away

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I dont know why but it seems like its worse than it used to be. Seems like its gotten a lot worse the last month.
 
Mr. Grinch said:
Going forward obvious trolling and snarky comments toward other members with no rationale will not be tolerated. I'm honestly fed up with it. If you have a problem with someone's posts put them on ignore. If you don't agree give a logical reason or ask why. Making off the cuff smart ass comments accomplishes nothing. I've been the most lenient staff member regarding banter and off topic chatter and I'm tired of standing up for people behind the scenes. The ban hammer is real and not that far away

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And - if someone has a problem with someone else, how about being civilized and taking it up privately - there is a PM function ... ;)
Take it from a non-Mod who bitches privately at folks, on occasion ...
 
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SoutheastRidge said:
I dont know why but it seems like its worse than it used to be. Seems like its gotten a lot worse the last month.
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It's because it's winter. I'm sure you could figure the rest out. I think that once we clear the bad apples or treat them, we will be a much better community and not one in which members feel like they can be attacked.
 
SoutheastRidge said:
I dont know why but it seems like its worse than it used to be. Seems like its gotten a lot worse the last month.
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Like FS said it's winter, traffic is up hundreds of different personalities meshing together problems are bound to crop up. I understand the emotional connection to bad model runs and fails but I don't understand the constant whining and trolling. At the end of the day we are here for a hobby and passion that we love, but we can't control it. Bastardi is 100% correct when he says "enjoy the weather, it's the only weather you get".

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Mr. Grinch said:
Going forward obvious trolling and snarky comments toward other members with no rationale will not be tolerated. I'm honestly fed up with it. If you have a problem with someone's posts put them on ignore. If you don't agree give a logical reason or ask why. Making off the cuff smart ass comments accomplishes nothing. I've been the most lenient staff member regarding banter and off topic chatter and I'm tired of standing up for people behind the scenes. The ban hammer is real and not that far away

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No disrespect, but I have seen admins and moderators make quite a few smart ass remarks. I know I'm not the only one to notice either. Just throwing that out there, seems like it should apply to all people or the wrong message will be relayed to the new people on the thread.
 
SCweather said:
No disrespect, but I have seen admins and moderators make quite a few smart ass remarks. I know I'm not the only one to notice either. Just throwing that out there, seems like it should apply to all people or the wrong message will be relayed to the new people on the thread.
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No disrespect at all and I've been guilty myself. Moving forward we will attempt to limit that

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Crazy tracking an event with potential of up to .10 QPF LoL. Minimal accumulations expected but arctic air mass involved and accretion aspect of this could cause high level impact. Gotta love winner in the South

That being said the lack of state or local resources to deal with any snow compounds the issue
 
Feeling super deprived of a moderate winter event here in the Midlands of SC. It's been since Feb. 2014. Late January will mark 4 years since I've got to say my county is under a winter storm warning... sigh...
 
SCweather said:
Feeling super deprived of a moderate winter event here in the Midlands of SC. It's been since Feb. 2014. Late January will mark 4 years since I've got to say my county is under a winter storm warning... sigh...
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It's only January. February is climo favored for that area.
 
Was before the NAM, lol! But from WxSouth.
 
Xtreme Weather said:
Crazy tracking an event with potential of up to .10 QPF LoL. Minimal accumulations expected but arctic air mass involved and accretion aspect of this could cause high level impact. Gotta love winner in the South

That being said the lack of state or local resources to deal with any snow compounds the issue
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I wouldnt think it would be a big deal with such small snow accumulations unless there is ice involved. Driving on an inch or two of snow is a piece of cake. The problem is some idiots drive way too fast which causes problems for others.
 
CAE sums it up great:

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Upper trough over the eastern CONUS to be reinforced by strong
embedded energy digging southeastward into the region
Wednesday. Surface boundary to push through Tuesday night into
Wednesday. Models continue to indicate limited moisture with
strong upper lift. The 12z model guidance continues to indicate
the chance for some precipitation...although they are trending
slightly drier than yesterday.

Some inherent uncertainty this far out, and some model
differences in play. This pattern does not fit the conceptual
model of what would typically bring significant snow to our
forecast area. Thermal profiles and local tools indicate if any
precipitation occurs, it could be a combination of rain, snow
or mix thereof at times. We`re still not expecting significant
accumulation or impacts. Used WPC guidance for POPs, providing
slight chance to low chance for measurable precipitation. Will
continue to monitor later model runs and make adjustments to the
forecast as needed if/when confidence warrants.
 
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